捕食系统时空动态对非对称的Allee效应的响应

虽然具有Allee效应的捕食系统动态已得到了广泛的研究,但很少有研究关注同一系统中不同种群受Allee效应影响情况.本文将考虑捕食、食饵种群分别受.Allee效应的影响,利用常微分方程与元胞自动机建立空间隐含(非空间)与显含的捕食模型,并讨论了Allee效应对捕食、食饵种群相互作用的非对称影响.空间隐含模型的模拟结果显示,捕食系统的稳定性与哪一个种群受Allee效应影响有关.当食饵种群受到中等强度Allee效应影响时,系统从稳定变为振荡状态.然而,捕食种群受Allee效应影响可使系统振动减弱并迅速达到稳定.空间显含模型的模拟结果表明,在概率转化模式下Allee效应可促使空间异质化,而捕食种群受Allee效应影响时空间异质化比食饵种群受影响时更强.此外,考虑统计随机性后发现两种群分别受Allee效应影响时种群呈现出两种分布模式:聚集型和界限型.特别当食饵受Allee效应,加之空间结构及统计随机性的作用,捕食系统出现一种矛盾的现象.     

斑块生境中具有捕食风险的动力系统模型及其数值模拟研究

从生物的捕食系统出发．提出了一种斑块生境中具有异质捕食风险的新机制．并构造了一个动力系统模型。在此模型之上,首先研究了扩散对系统稳定性的作用．并对系统进行了计算机模拟。研究发现：具有不同捕食风险的斑块生境之间的扩散(无论是只有食饵的扩散．还是食饵和捕食者共同的扩散)对整个捕食系统所起的作用主要取决于扩散的速率——只有在适中的扩散速率下系统才会稳定．如果扩散速率过快,则引起系统的强烈振荡。当只有食饵发生扩散时,参数f的值越小(f代表高捕食风险生境斑块体积占整个系统体积的比例)．系统越稳定。在捕食者与食饵同时扩散的时候．只有适中或较小的参数f才可以实现系统的长期稳定。其次研究了系统中种群空间平均平衡密度随扩散速率增加的变化趋势。模拟结果表明：系统中食饵种群的空间平均平衡密度随扩散速率增加而减小;捕食者种群平衡密度的变化趋势则取决于系统斑块之间的扩散形式：只有食饵发生扩散时．捕食者种群的空间平衡密度先保持不变．然后缓慢下降;捕食者与食饵同时扩散的时候．捕食者种群平衡密度呈上升趋势。上述结论是由空间异质的捕食风险所决定的．也就是一种下行控制力所限制的结果。综合以上两个结论．认为斑块之间的扩散形式决定了扩散对系统动态的作用和种群空间平均平衡密度对扩散速率增加的反应。     

一类捕食者具有阶段结构的捕食系统的全局稳定性分析

本文建立了一类捕食者具有阶段结构的捕食系统,计算得到了不存在食饵种群时捕食者种群模型和食饵种群存在时捕食系统的平衡点,并证明了平衡点的存在性.分析和比较了两个模型平衡点的全局稳定性,最终确定了决定模型全局稳定性的捕食者种群基本再生数、食饵灭绝与否的捕食率阈值以及捕食存在时食饵种群的净增长率.     

一类具有垂直传播的SEIRS捕食传染病模型的全局分析

通过假设捕食系统中疾病只在食饵种群中传播,被传染的易惑者经过一段潜伏期后才具有传染性,潜伏者与染病者均具有垂直传播能力,染病者恢复后对该病不具有终身免疫力,建立了一类具有垂直传播的SEIRS捕食传染病模型,运用极限系统理论,分两种情形讨论了系统平衡点的存在性及局部稳定性,利用Lyapunov函数和二次复合矩阵等方法,得到了平衡点全局渐近稳定的条件.     

捕食者具有厌食性反应且食饵具有Allee效应的捕食系统

在Dubis动力系统的基础上,建立了具有Allee效应的捕食系统模型。对系统的稳定性进行了分析,受Allee效应的影响,食饵种群可能因为种群大小处于临界点以下而趋于灭绝。通过对系统进行模拟,结果表明:不受Allee效应的影响,系统的演化属于一种理想化的情形系统到达P(平衡)点的时间较不受Allee效应影响时系统到达P点的时间短,不利于生物的进化,而在Allee效应的影响下,系统的演化将达到一个平衡状态。由此,说明Allee效应为濒临灭绝物种的管理提供了重要的理论依据,对管理部门的决策有参考指导作用。     

捕食风险的种群动态效应及其作用机理研究进展

捕食者不但可以通过直接捕杀猎物而控制猎物的种群数量,还可以通过捕食风险效应影响猎物种群的繁殖和动态,并且在某些情况下,捕食风险效应对猎物种群动态的控制作用甚至大于捕食者的直接捕杀.关于捕食风险效应对猎物动物繁殖产出和种群动态变化的作用及其机理方面的野外研究越来越受到国内外学者重视.本文介绍了近年来捕食风险效应的研究进展,重点关注了美国黄石国家公园中捕食者对马鹿(Cervus elephus)、加拿大育空地区的捕食者对白靴兔(Lepus americanus)的捕食风险效应等案例研究,以阐明捕食风险效应对猎物种群动态影响的重要性,以及关于捕食风险效应影响猎物种群繁殖和动态机理的两个假说(捕食者敏感食物假说、捕食应激假说).并结合我国在捕食者与猎物之间关系的研究现状,提出了进一步在野外开展捕食风险效应对濒危有蹄类猎物种群动态影响研究的建议,阐释了开展这些研究的重要意义.     

具时滞的捕食与被捕食系统的动力分析

研究了具有时滞的捕食与被捕食系统,分析了系统的正不变集、边界平衡点性质、全局渐近稳定性和持久生存性.当时滞(?)很小时,系统在正平衡点是局部渐近稳定的,当(?)从0增到(?)_0时,系统在正平衡点附近产生Hopf分支.     

带有食饵保护的Gause型扩散捕食系统的稳定性分析

考虑了具有扩散项和食饵保护的Gause型捕食系统.该模型带有齐次Neumann边界条件.讨论了系统的全局吸引性以及系统非负常数平衡态的局部稳定性和全局稳定性.其条件依赖于食饵保护参数,表明了食饵保护对系统动力学行为的影响.     

具有时滞的三种群随机捕食-食饵模型

本文研究一个具有时滞三种群随机捕食-食饵模型;首先,确定系统对正的初始条件存在唯一的全局正解,其次,证明了系统均值有界且获得了种群灭绝与平均持续生存的条件.     

含有食饵自庇护的食饵-捕食模型的模糊滑模控制

针对一类令布食饵自虞护的食饵-捕食系统,当环境变化时,系统参数的扰动处于动态状态,利用其扰动边界的特性,通过设计模糊滑模控制器将失控系统引至平稳轨道,并使系统全局稳定,从理论上实现了失控系统的有效控制,为防治食饵种群灭绝,引起食物链断裂,导致生态平衡破坏提供了一定的理论依据．最后的仿真结果表明了此方法在理论上的有效性．     

Effect of predator density dependent dispersal of prey on stability of a predator-prey system

This work presents a predator-prey Lotka-Volterra model in a two patch environment. The model is a set of four ordinary differential equations that govern the prey and predator population densities on each patch. Predators disperse with constant migration rates, while prey dispersal is predator density-dependent. When the predator density is large, the dispersal of prey is more likely to occur. We assume that prey and predator dispersal is faster than the local predator-prey interaction on each patch. Thus, we take advantage of two time scales in order to reduce the complete model to a system of two equations governing the total prey and predator densities. The stability analysis of the aggregated model shows that a unique strictly positive equilibrium exists. This equilibrium may be stable or unstable. A Hopf bifurcation may occur, leading the equilibrium to be a centre. If the two patches are similar, the predator density dependent dispersal of prey has a stabilizing effect on the predator-prey system.     

Impact of fear effect on the growth of prey in a predator-prey interaction model

Several field data and experiments on a terrestrial vertebrates exhibited that the fear of predators would cause a substantial variability of prey demography. Fear for predator population enhances the survival probability of prey population, and it can greatly reduce the reproduction of prey population. Based on the experimental evidence, we proposed and analyzed a prey-predator system introducing the cost of fear into prey reproduction with Holling type-II functional response. We investigate all the biologically feasible equilibrium points, and their stability is analyzed in terms of the model parameters. Our mathematical analysis exhibits that for strong anti-predator responses can stabilize the prey-predator interactions by ignoring the existence of periodic behaviors. Our model system undergoes Hopf bifurcation by considering the birth rate r₀ as a bifurcation parameter. For larger prey birth rate, we investigate the transition to a stable coexisting equilibrium state, with oscillatory approach to this equilibrium state, indicating that the greatest characteristic eigenvalues are actually a pair of imaginary eigenvalues with real part negative, which is increasing for r₀. We obtained the conditions for the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation and conditions governing the direction of Hopf bifurcation, which imply that the prey birth rate will not only influence the occurrence of Hopf bifurcation but also alter the direction of Hopf bifurcation. We identify the parameter regions associated with the extinct equilibria, predator-free equilibria and coexisting equilibria with respect to prey birth rate, predator mortality rates. Fear can stabilize the predator-prey system at an interior steady state, where all the species can exists together, or it can create the oscillatory coexistence of all the populations. We performed some numerical simulations to investigate the relationship between the effects of fear and other biologically related parameters (including growth/decay rate of prey/predator), which exhibit the impact that fear can have in prey-predator system. Our numerical illustrations also demonstrate that the prey become less sensitive to perceive the risk of predation with increasing prey growth rate or increasing predators decay rate.     

Chaotic dynamics of a three species prey-predator competition model with bionomic harvesting due to delayed environmental noise as external driving force

We consider a biological economic model based on prey-predator interactions to study the dynamical behaviour of a fishery resource system consisting of one prey and two predators surviving on the same prey. The mathematical model is a set of first order non-linear differential equations in three variables with the population densities of one prey and the two predators. All the possible equilibrium points of the model are identified, where the local and global stabilities are investigated. Biological and bionomical equilibriums of the system are also derived. We have analysed the population intensities of fluctuations i.e., variances around the positive equilibrium due to noise with incorporation of a constant delay leading to chaos, and lastly have investigated the stability and chaotic phenomena with a computer simulation.     

Does Sex-Selective Predation Stabilize or Destabilize Predator-Prey Dynamics?

Background

Little is known about the impact of prey sexual dimorphism on predator-prey dynamics and the impact of sex-selective harvesting and trophy hunting on long-term stability of exploited populations.

Methodology and Principal Findings

We review the quantitative evidence for sex-selective predation and study its long-term consequences using several simple predator-prey models. These models can be also interpreted in terms of feedback between harvesting effort and population size of the harvested species under open-access exploitation. Among the 81 predator-prey pairs found in the literature, male bias in predation is 2.3 times as common as female bias. We show that long-term effects of sex-selective predation depend on the interplay of predation bias and prey mating system. Predation on the ‘less limiting’ prey sex can yield a stable predator-prey equilibrium, while predation on the other sex usually destabilizes the dynamics and promotes population collapses. For prey mating systems that we consider, males are less limiting except for polyandry and polyandrogyny, and male-biased predation alone on such prey can stabilize otherwise unstable dynamics. On the contrary, our results suggest that female-biased predation on polygynous, polygynandrous or monogamous prey requires other stabilizing mechanisms to persist.

Conclusions and Significance

Our modelling results suggest that the observed skew towards male-biased predation might reflect, in addition to sexual selection, the evolutionary history of predator-prey interactions. More focus on these phenomena can yield additional and interesting insights as to which mechanisms maintain the persistence of predator-prey pairs over ecological and evolutionary timescales. Our results can also have implications for long-term sustainability of harvesting and trophy hunting of sexually dimorphic species.     

一类具分段常数变量的捕食-食饵系统的Neimark-Sacker分支

讨论了具时滞与分段常数变量的捕食-食饵生态模型的稳定性及Neimark-Sacker分支;通过计算得到连续模型对应的差分模型,基于特征值理论和Schur-Cohn判据得到正平衡态局部渐进稳定的充分条件;以食饵的内禀增长率为分支参数,运用分支理论和中心流形定理分析了Neimark-Sacker分支的存在性与稳定性条件;通过举例和数值模拟验证了理论的正确性。     

食饵庇护所对斑块环境下Leslie-Gower捕食系统的影响

建立了一个显式含有空间庇护所的两斑块Leslie-Gower捕食者-食饵系统。假设只有食饵种群在斑块间以常数迁移率迁移,且在每个斑块上食饵间的迁移比局部捕食者-食饵相互作用发生的时间尺度要快。利用两个时间尺度,可以构建用来描述所有斑块总的食饵和捕食者密度的综合系统。数学分析表明,在一定条件下,存在唯一的正平衡点,并且此平衡点全局稳定。进一步,捕食者的数量随着食饵庇护所数量增加而降低;在一定条件下,食饵的数量随着食饵庇护所数量增加先增加后降低,在足够强的庇护所强度下,两物种出现灭绝。对比以往研究,利用显式含有和隐含空间庇护所的数学模型所得结论不一致,这意味着在研究庇护所对捕食系统种群动态影响时,空间结构可能起着重要作用。     

Impact of spatial heterogeneity on a predator-prey system dynamics

This paper deals with the study of a predator-prey model in a patchy environment. Prey individuals moves on two patches, one is a refuge and the second one contains predator individuals. The movements are assumed to be faster than growth and predator-prey interaction processes. Each patch is assumed to be homogeneous. The spatial heterogeneity is obtained by assuming that the demographic parameters (growth rates, predation rates and mortality rates) depend on the patches. On the predation patch, we use a Lotka-Volterra model. Since the movements are faster that the other processes, we may assume that the frequency of prey and predators become constant and we would get a global predator-prey model, which is shown to be a Lotka-Volterra one. However, this simplified model at the population level does not match the dynamics obtained with the complete initial model. We explain this phenomenom and we continue the analysis in order to give a two-dimensional predator-prey model that gives the same dynamics as that provided by the complete initial one. We use this simplified model to study the impact of spatial heterogeneity and movements on the system stability. This analysis shows that there is a globally asymptotically stable equilibrium in the positive quadrant, i.e. the spatial heterogeneity stabilizes the equilibrium.     

Modeling changes in predator functional response to prey across spatial scales

Extrapolation of predator functional responses from laboratory observations to the field is often necessary to predict predation rates and predator-prey dynamics at spatial and temporal scales that are difficult to observe directly. We use a spatially explicit individual-based model to explore mechanisms behind changes in functional responses when the scale of observation is increased. Model parameters were estimated from a predator-prey system consisting of the predator Delphastus catalinae (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae) and Bemisia tabaci biotype B (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) on tomato plants. The model explicitly incorporates prey and predator distributions within single plants, the search behavior of predators within plants, and the functional response to prey at the smallest scale of interaction (within leaflets) observed in the laboratory. Validation revealed that the model is useful in scaling up from laboratory observations to predation in whole tomato plants of varying sizes. Comparing predicted predation at the leaflet scale, as observed in laboratory experiments, with predicted predation on whole plants revealed that the predator functional response switches from type II within leaflets to type III within whole plants. We found that the magnitude of predation rates and the type of functional response at the whole plant scale are modulated by (1) the degree of alignment between predator and prey distributions and (2) predator foraging behavior, particularly the effect of area-concentrated search within plants when prey population density is relatively low. The experimental and modeling techniques we present could be applied to other systems in which active predators prey upon sessile or slow-moving species.     

Effects of convective and dispersive interactions on the stability of two species

The evolution and local stability of a system of two interacting species in a finite two-dimensional habitat is investigated by taking into account the effects of self- and cross-dispersion and convection of the species. In absence of cross-dispersion, an equilibrium state which is stable without dispersion is always stable with dispersion provided that the dispersion coefficients of the two species are equal. However, when the dispersion coefficients of the two species are different, the possibility of self-dispersive instability arises. It is also pointed out that the cross-dispersion of species may lead to stability or instability depending upon the nature and the magnitude of the cross-dispersive interactions in comparison to the self-dispersive interactions. The self-convective movement of species increases the stability of the equilibrium state and can stabilize an otherwise unstable equilibrium state. The effect of cross-convection (in absence of self-dispersion and self-convection) is to stabilize the equilibrium state in a prey-predator model with positive cross-dispersion coefficients for the prey species. Finally, it is shown that if the system is stable under homogeneous boundary conditions it remains so under non-homogeneous boundary conditions.     

The dynamic effects of an inducible defense in the Nicholson-Bailey model

We investigate the dynamic effects of an inducible prey defense in the Nicholson-Bailey predator-prey model. We assume that the defense is of all-or-nothing type but that the probability for a prey individual to express the defended phenotype increases gradually with predator density. Compared to a defense that is independent of predation risk, an inducible defense facilitates persistence of the predator-prey system. In particular, inducibility reduces the minimal strength of the defense required for persistence. It also promotes stability by damping predator-prey cycles, but there are exceptions to this result: first, a strong inducible defense leads to the existence of multiple equilibria, and sometimes, to the destruction of stable equilibria. Second, a fast increase in the proportion of defended prey can create predator-prey cycles as the result of an over-compensating negative feedback. Non-equilibrium dynamics of the model are extremely complex.