Computing optimal base-stock levels for an inventory system with imperfect supply

We study a single-item, single-site, periodic-review inventory system with negligible fixed ordering costs. The supplier to this system is not entirely reliable, such that each order is a Bernoulli trial, meaning that, with a given probability, the supplier delivers the current order and any accumulated backorders at the end of the current period, resulting in a Geometric distribution for the actual resupply lead time. We develop a recursive expression for the steady-state probability vector of a discrete-time Markov process (DTMP) model of this imperfect-supply inventory system. We use this recursive expression to prove the convexity of the inventory system objective function, and also to prove the optimality of our computational procedure for finding the optimal base-stock level. We present a service-constrained version of the problem and show how the computation of the optimal base-stock level using our DTMP method, incorporating the explicit distribution of demand over the lead time plus review (LTR) period, compares to approaches in the literature that approximate this distribution. We also show that the version of the problem employing an explicit penalty cost can be solved in closed-form for the optimal base-stock level for two specific period demand distributions, and we explore the behavior of the optimal base-stock level and the corresponding optimal service level under various values of the problem parameters.     

可控前置时间的连续盘点联合库存策略研究

鉴于控制前置时间对精益生产系统的重要性,在考虑买方与卖方合作的同时,扩展Goyal生产批量交货的假设,假设需求服从正态分布,以订购数量、运送次数与前置时间为决策变量,建立前置时间可控制的联合库存模型以确定适当的库存水平,使得库存总成本最小化,且可以通过协商在买卖双方之间进行节省成本的分配。进行了数值范例,并将联合库存模型与Banerjee模型、Goyal模型进行了比较。     

A periodic review inventory model involving variable lead time with a service level constraint

In this study, we consider a mixture periodic review inventory model in which both the lead time and the review period are considered as decision variables. Instead of having a stock-out term in the objective function, a service level constraint is added to the model. In our paper, we first assume that the protection interval (i.e. the review period plus the lead time) demand follows a normal distribution, and then we relax this assumption and only assume that the first two moments of the protection interval demand are given. For each case, we develop an algorithm to find the optimal review period and optimal lead time. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is also performed.     

随机中断环境下的库存控制研究

考虑一需求为复合Poisson分布、提前期为指数分布和短缺损失的连续检查库存系统. 在假设供应商和零售商工作和中断的持续时间服从独立指数分布条件下, 利用水平穿越法, 确定零售商库存水平的平稳分布函数, 在此基础上, 构建长程平均费用率模型, 并利用交叉熵法得到最优库存控制策略. 最后, 通过仿真实验, a分析了中断强度和系统参数对最优库存策略和平均费用率的影响.     

The distribution free continuous review inventory system with a service level constraint

The stochastic inventory models require the information on the lead time demand. However, the distributional information of the lead time demand is often limited in practice. We relax the assumption that the cumulative distribution function, say F, of the lead time demand is completely known and merely assume that the first two moments of F are known and finite. The distribution free approach for the inventory model consists of finding the most unfavorable distribution for each decision variable and then minimizing over the decision variable. We apply the distribution free approach to the continuous review inventory system with a service level constraint. We develop an iterative procedure to find the optimal order quantity and reorder level.     

Intelligent supply chain management using adaptive critic learning

A set of neural networks is employed to develop control policies that are better than fixed, theoretically optimal policies, when applied to a combined physical inventory and distribution system in a nonstationary demand environment. Specifically, we show that model-based adaptive critic approximate dynamic programming techniques can be used with systems characterized by discrete valued states and controls. The control policies embodied by the trained neural networks outperformed the best, fixed policies (found by either linear programming or genetic algorithms) in a high-penalty cost environment with time-varying demand.     

The value of information sharing in a supply chain with a seasonal demand process

This paper considers a two echelon seasonal supply chain model that consists of one supplier and one retailer, with the assumption that external demand from the customer follows a seasonal autoregressive moving average (SARMA) process, including marketing actions that cannot be deduced from the other parameters of the demand process. In our model, the supplier and the retailer employ order-up-to policy to replenish their inventory. In order to evaluate the value of information sharing in a two echelon seasonal supply chain, three levels of information sharing proposed by Yu, Yan, and Cheng (2002) are used. The results for optimal inventory policies under these three levels of information sharing are derived. We show that the seasonal effect has an important impact on optimal inventory policies of the supplier under the three levels of information sharing. Our findings also demonstrate that the replenishment of lead time must be less than the seasonal period in order to benefit from information sharing. Thus, this result provides managers with managerial insights to improve supply chain performance through information sharing integration partnerships.     

(Q,r,L) Inventory model with defective items

This paper assumes that an arrival order lot may contain some defective items, and the number of defective items is a random variable. We derive a modified mixture inventory model with backorders and lost sales, in which the order quantity, the reorder point and the lead time are decision variables. In our studies, we first assume that the lead time demand follows a normal distribution, and then relax the assumption about the form of the distribution function of the lead time demand and apply the minimax distribution-free procedure to solve the problem. We develop an algorithm procedure to obtain the optimal ordering strategy. Furthermore, the effects of parameters are also included.     

Integrated vendor--buyer inventory system with sublot sampling inspection policy and controllable lead time

This article investigates the impact of inspection policy and lead time reduction on an integrated vendor--buyer inventory system. We assume that an arriving order contains some defective items. The buyer adopts a sublot sampled inspection policy to inspect selected items. The number of defective items in the sublot sampling is a random variable. The buyer's lead time is assumed reducible by adding crash cost. Two integrated inventory models with backorders and lost sales are derived. We first assume that the lead time demand follows a normal distribution, and then relax the assumption about the lead time demand distribution function and apply the minimax distribution-free procedure to solve the problem. Consequently, the order quantity, reorder point, lead time and the number of shipments per lot from the vendor to the buyer are decision variables. Iterative procedures are developed to obtain the optimal strategy.     

Periodic review fuzzy inventory model with variable lead time and fuzzy demand

This paper investigates a periodic review fuzzy inventory model with lead time, reorder point, and cycle length as decision variables. The main goal of this study is to minimize the expected total annual cost by simultaneously optimizing cycle length, reorder point, and lead time for the whole system based on fuzzy demand. Two models are considered in this paper: one with normal demand distribution and another with a distribution‐free approach. The model assumes a logarithmic investment function for lost‐sale rate reduction. Furthermore, two separate efficient computational algorithms are explained to obtain the optimal solution. Some numerical examples are given to illustrate the model.     

需求和退货波动环境下库存控制

随着需求和退货波动的增大, 如何有效控制库存, 成为当前零售企业管理者亟待解决的难题. 在库存水平动态变化表示为Markov调制Lévy过程条件下, 利用水平穿越和多维鞅理论, 分别确定了库存水平分布及循环期望费用和时间函数, 在此基础上, 构建了系统长程平均费用率模型. 最后, 通过仿真试验, 对比了3种订货策略下需求和环境状态变化系统的性能, 并分析了退货对最优控制策略的影响. 进而, 得到一些重要的库存管理启示.     

A Bayesian approach to a dynamic inventory model under an unknown demand distribution

In this paper, the Bayesian approach to demand estimation is outlined for the cases of stationary as well as non-stationary demand. The optimal policy is derived for an inventory model that allows stock disposal, and is shown to be the solution of a dynamic programming backward recursion. Then, a method is given to search for the optimal order level around the myopic order level. Finally, a numerical study is performed to make a profit comparison between the Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches, when the demand follows a stationary lognormal distribution. A profit comparison is also made between the stationary and non-stationary Bayesian approaches to observe whether the Bayesian approach incorporates non-stationarity in the demand. And, it is observed whether stock disposal reduces the losses due to ignoring non-stationarity in the demand.Scope and purposeIn the context of inventory models, one of the crucial factors to determine an optimal inventory policy, is the accurate forecasting or estimation of the demand for items in the inventory. The assumption of a constant demand is seriously questioned in recent times, since in reality the demand is generally uncertain and may even vary with time. For instance, the demand for new products, spare parts, or style goods, is likely to fluctuate widely, the average demand is quite likely to be low, and may exhibit a trend. In such situations, the Bayesian approach is a very useful tool for demand estimation, which is applicable even when past observations are scarce. In this paper, we use this approach to estimate the demand for an item, and obtain the expressions for finding the optimal inventory policies. We give a simpler method to find the optimal inventory policy, since the procedure to obtain the optimal inventory policy in the Bayesian framework, is quite tedious especially for long planning horizons, and in cases where the future demand becomes unpredictable. To widen the application of the method, we have given a general procedure which is not restricted to any particular probability distribution for the demand. We compare the Bayesian approach with the corresponding non-Bayesian approach, in terms of the optimum expected profits, when the demand follows a lognormal distribution. We also investigate how well the Bayesian approach incorporates non-stationarity in the demand.     

Single period stochastic inventory problems with ordering or returns policies

In recent years, there has been an increasing adoption of returns policies in the coordination of the supply chain, where market demand is always assumed to be satisfied by manufacturing or by ordering from suppliers. However, many industries face the important decision of how to balance their inventory level. This problem has long been studied in financial institutions such as banks. This study presents an optimal inventory policy under a given stochastic demand such as a uniformly distributed demand, single-item, and single period review inventory system. The optimal inventory control policy obtained in this study is called a four-point policy: that is, when the entity’s inventory level is below a reorder point, the entity must increase his stock level by ordering and order up-to a fixed level (second point); when the entity’s inventory level is over a return point (third point); the stock level must be decreased by returns and decreased to a fixed level (fourth point); otherwise, nothing should be done. We also analyze the (K, S)-convex properties of the inventory cost function.     

Multiple lot-sizing decisions with an interrupted geometric yield and variable production time

This study examines a multiple lot-sizing problem for a single-stage production system with an interrupted geometric distribution, which is distinguished in involving variable production lead-time. In a finite number of setups, this study determined the optimal lot-size for each period that minimizes total expected cost. The following cost items are considered in optimum lot-sizing decisions: setup cost, variable production cost, inventory holding cost, and shortage cost. A dynamic programming model is formulated in which the duration between current time and due date is a stage variable, and remaining demand and work-in-process status are state variables. This study then presents an algorithm for solving the dynamic programming problem. Additionally, this study examines how total expected costs of optimal lot-sizing decisions vary when parameters are changed. Numerical results show that the optimum lot-size as a function of demand is not always monotonic.     

A tabu search procedure for coordinating production,inventory and distribution routing problems

This paper addresses the problem of optimally coordinating a production‐distribution system over a multi‐period finite horizon, where a facility production produces several items that are distributed to a set of customers by a fleet of homogeneous vehicles. The demand for each item at each customer is known over the horizon. The production planning determines how much to produce of each item in every period, while the distribution planning defines when customers should be visited, the amount of each item that should be delivered to customers and the vehicle routes. The objective is to minimize the sum of production and inventory costs at the facility, inventory costs at the customers and distribution costs. We also consider a related problem of inventory routing, where a supplier receives or produces known quantities of items in each period and has to solve the distribution problem. We propose a tabu search procedure for solving such problems, and this approach is compared with vendor managed policies proposed in the literature, in which the facility knows the inventory levels of the customers and determines the replenishment policies.     

Analysis of Admission and Inventory Control Policies for Production Networks

Problems of inventory control and customer admission control are considered for a manufacturing system that produces one product to meet random demand. Four admission policies are investigated: lost sales, complete backordering, randomized admission, and partial backordering. These policies are combined with an integral inventory control policy, which releases raw items only when an incoming order is accepted and keeps the inventory position (total inventory minus outstanding orders) constant. The objective is to determine the inventory level and the maximum number of backorders, as well as the admission probability that maximize the mean profit rate of the system. The system is modeled as a closed queueing network and its performance is computed analytically. The optimal parameters for each policy are found using exhaustive search and convex analysis. Numerical results show that managing inventory levels and sales jointly through partial backordering achieves higher profit than other control policies.     

On the distribution free continuous-review inventory model with a service level constraint

We consider a continuous-review (Q, r) inventory model with a fill rate service constraint and relax the assumption that the distribution of lead time demand is known. We adopt a distribution free approach: We assume that only the first two moments of the lead time demand distribution are known, and then, optimize the policy parameters against the worst possible distribution. We are able to derive closed-form expressions for the optimal order quantity and reorder point.     

按单装配系统中组件生产和库存分配控制策略研究

针对由两种组件、三类顾客需求组成的按单装配系统, 本文研究了其中的组件生产控制与库存分配问题. 在各类顾客需 求是泊松到达过程, 各种组件加工时间服从指数分布的假设下, 我们运用马尔科夫决策理论建立了无限期折扣总成本模型, 根据Lippman转换得到了相应归一化后的离散最优方程, 在此基础之上分析了生产和库存分配联合最优控制策略的结构性质. 本文证明了最优策略是依赖于系统状态的动态策略. 组件的最优生产策略是动态基库存策略, 其中基库存水平是关于系统中其他组件库存水平的非减函数. 而最优的分配策略是动态的阈值策略, 对于只需一种组件构成的顾客需求, 组件的分配阈值是系统中另一组件库存水平的增函数; 而对于同时需要两种组件组成的顾客需求, 其各组件的分配阈值是另一组件库存水平的减函数. 最后通过数值试验给出了各个参数对联合最优控制策略的影响, 并得到了相应的管理启示.     

A replenishment policy for items with price-dependent demand,time-proportional deterioration and no shortages

In this article, an order-level inventory system for deteriorating items has been developed with demand rate as a function of selling price. The demand and the deterioration rate are price dependent and time proportional, respectively. We have considered a perishable item that follows a three-parameter Weibull distribution deterioration. Shortages are not permitted in our model. The optimal solution is illustrated with a numerical example and the sensitivity analysis of parameters is carried out.     

缺货不补的随机存储系统的建模与仿真

基于(s,S)策略,讨论了缺货不通过到达的订货进行补充的随机存储系统.假定需求量、需求发生的间隔、以及提前时间都为随机变量,建立了系统的数学模型.给出库存总费用和缺货率的计算公式,将二者加权平均得到策略的综合系数.设计了系统仿真运行框图,在各种费用参数给定后,利用计算机仿真和综合系数来选定最优存储策略.