制造业与物流业联动发展的竞合模型研究——基于产业生态系统的视角

2009年3月国务院出台的制造业与物流业联动发展的政策,对提升物流企业在社会经济发展中的地位和作用有重要意义.当前制造业与物流业在发展中存在效率低、成本高的问题,企业应建立现代物流信息系统及联动经营来实现职能控制、提高效率和降低成本,从而使制造业与物流业双赢.     

承接产业转移背景下安徽省制造业和物流业联动发展探究

制造业是物流业发展的需求基础,现代物流是提升制造企业核心竞争力的重要手段。在承接产业转移背景下,制造业与物流业联动发展对于安徽在中部崛起具有战略意义。为了促进安徽省制造业和物流业更好地联动发展,文章认为,除了进一步完善基础设施、加快物流人才培养、支持物流企业增强一体化服务能力外,还应该实施营造有利于两业联动发展的政策环境等措施。     

网络嵌入对企业绿色创新的影响与作用机制：吸收能力的中介作用

基于企业资源观与能力观,构建以潜在吸收能力与现实吸收能力为中介变量的链式中介模型,利用264份制造业企业调查问卷,探讨网络嵌入对企业绿色创新的影响与作用机制。研究发现：网络嵌入正向影响企业绿色创新;潜在吸收能力、现实吸收能力分别在网络嵌入与企业绿色创新间起部分中介作用,并共同在网络嵌入与企业绿色创新间发挥链式中介作用。该研究拓展了网络嵌入影响企业绿色创新的内在机制,揭示了外部网络资源与内部动态能力在实现企业绿色创新中的重要性。     

物流业与制造业联动发展的研究

世界发达国家制造业发展的实践表明,随着制造业的快速发展,必然寻求现代物流服务业作为支撑。物流业是重要的生产性服务业,对于促进制造业结构调整和产业升级具有重要作用。制造业是国民经济的支柱产业,也是物流社会化的需求基础。制造业与物流业联手,从供应链的角度,整合上下游企业的物流活动,融合渗透、联动发展势在必行。     

制造业嵌入式服务化促进了企业创新吗——创新数量与质量视角

制造业嵌入式服务化是制造业服务化转型的主导路径，对制造业高质量发展具有重要作用。基于制造业嵌入式服务化对企业创新的影响机理分析，采用2008—2018年中国制造业上市公司嵌入式服务化数据与专利数据，实证检验制造业嵌入式服务化对企业创新数量、创新质量的影响效应与作用机制，结果表明：制造业现代服务嵌入对企业创新数量和创新质量具有提升效应，传统服务嵌入仅对创新数量具有促进作用；制造业嵌入式服务化创新效应具有行业异质性和发展阶段异质性特征，传统制造业和成长期企业能够从服务化转型中获益更多。中介机制检验结果表明，制造业嵌入式服务化主要通过调整企业要素结构和优化企业创新行为影响企业创新表现。其中，创新要素投入和探索性创新是主要作用渠道。     

物流业与制造业联动发展的研究——以唐山为例

世界发达国家制造业发展的实践表明,随着制造业的快速发展,必然寻求现代物流服务业作为支撑.物流业是重要的生产性服务业,对于促进制造业结构调整和产业升级具有重要作用.制造业是国民经济的支柱产业,也是物流社会化的需求基础.制造业与物流业联手,从供应链的角度,整合上下游企业的物流活动,融合渗透、联动发展势在必行.     

经济危机下现代制造业与物流业的互动发展研究

2008年以来,金融危机袭卷全球,其对实体经济造成重大影响,我国制造业与物流业受到严重打击.本文从以下两方面论述了经济危机下现代制造与物流业的互动发展:一是制造业应如何借助物流业降低风险、提升服务质量、提高物流效率,从而掘取"第三利润";二是物流业如何依靠制造企业和政府的政策扶持,充分发挥各种物流资源,为制造业提供优惠、高效、安全、快捷的物流服务,从而做大、做强物流业,最终达到互动发展的共赢局面,提升中国企业的市场竞争力.     

制造业与物流业联动关系演化与实证分析

专业化水平的提升使越来越多的制造企业将物流外置,促使了物流服务业的兴起。制造业竞争力的提升和供应链管理的实现要求制造业与物流业联动发展,制造业的发展是物流业发展壮大的基石。联动关系一般遵循物流环节分离、物流产业分离、两业集聚联动、两业扩散联动的演化路径。本文用1978～2009年的统计数据所进行的协整检验表明,中国制造业与物流业之间存在着长期均衡关系,物流业发展是制造业发展的格兰杰原因。     

制造业与物流业联动发展的竞合关系研究--基于集成场的视角

随着物流功能的集成和制造过程的标准化发展,物流一体化服务逐步嵌入制造过程,直接服务于生产工位。然而,目前两业联动的研究局限于制造企业与物流企业间的关系,难以带动产业的联动发展,因此,制造业与物流业的联动研究应转向物流链与产品供应链的关系研究。文章基于非合作博弈和合作博弈模型,从集成场的视角,对制造集成体与物流集成体之间的竞合关系进行了分析,以非合作博弈模型的解作为谈判的基础,运用合作博弈模型,得出只有在双方选择集体理性的条件下,能够促进物流链与产品供应链的融合,并指出u 0,ν0, t 0, U四个参数影响两业联动的模式。     

制造业与物流业联动对物价的影响

优化产业结构、促进制造业升级、维持消费品物价稳定水平是我国经济发展的长期战略。制造业与物流业是市场经济中核心的供给范畴,是实体经济的重要组成部分,文章基于对消费品物价水平的现状分析,从制造业与物流业联动发展降低社会物流成本的角度入手,运用经济学理论对两业联动发展水平改善对物价稳定的积极影响以及促进物价稳定的作用进行了研究,指出两业联动通过促进产品供给能力增加、消费能力增加以及降低交易成本来影响物价,进而指出两业联动发展在稳定物价过程中面临的主要问题。研究结论指出联动发展对稳定物价的对策措施可以通过支持平台型企业发展、完善制造企业物流业务外包管理、发展物流服务企业承接能力、推动统一大市场的形成以及联动技术的发展等方面,从而提高有效供给的能力,实现稳定物价的目标。     

Pleasure and belief in Hume's Decision Process

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to introduce explicitly pleasure and belief in what aims at being a Humean theory of decision, like the one developed in Diaye and Lapidus (2005a). Although we support the idea that Hume was in some way a hedonist – evidently different from Bentham's or Jevons' way – we lay emphasis less on continuity than on the specific kind of hedonism encountered in Hume's writings (chiefly the Treatise, the second Enquiry, the Dissertation, or some of his Essays). Such hedonism clearly contrasts to its standard modern inheritance, expressed by the relation between preferences and utility.

The reason for such a difference with the usual approach lies in the mental process that Hume puts to the fore in order to explain the way pleasure determines desires and volition. Whereas pleasure is primarily, in Hume's words, an impression of sensation, it takes place in the birth of passions as reflecting an idea of pleasure, whose “force and vivacity” is precisely a “belief”, transferred to the direct passions of desire or volition that come immediately before action. As a result, from a Humean point of view, “belief” deals with decision under risk or uncertainty, as well as with intertemporal decision and indiscrimination problems.

The latter are explored within a formal framework, and it is shown that the relation of pleasure is transformed by belief into a non-empty class of relations of desire, among which at least one is a preorder.     

Globalization,Neoliberalism and the attack on social security

Neoliberal political movements advocate privatization of public pension systems. Globalization imposes pressure on nations to conform to neoliberal policy views with respect to the design and structure of social insurance, including public pension systems. The paper begins with an investigation of the economic, ethical and ideological dimensions of the privatization debates in the U.S.; it argues that privatization advocates may be largely moved by ideology, since the other reasons advanced appear weak or unfounded. The second part discusses the history of Social Security, the purposes for its creation, and some of its economic effects. Differences between public and private pension systems are considered. A brief international comparison of some aspects of public pension system finance and benefit structures is presented. The final section considers the ethical, macroeconomic and distributional implications of privatization, prefunding and payroll tax funding, and argues for a pay as you go system financed with income taxes. In order to promote equity, economic security, community, and social cohesion, public pension systems should be universal in coverage. In order to reduce the inequality, income insecurity, and aged poverty generated by market economies, public pension systems ought to be progressive: benefit/contribution ratios should be inversely proportional to income, and progressive income taxes should finance the system. To promote economic growth, the systems should be financed on a pay-as-you-go basis, and should not be prefunded except for an emergency reserve. The fiscal policy recommendations partially depend upon the theory developed by Abba Lerner in the 1940s, and recently advanced by Wynne Godley and Randy Wray: Lerner's “principle of functional finance.”     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

Interest on reserves and inflation

The payment of interest on reserves has been a common practice in inflationary economies. This policy may seem paradoxical since it involves returning part of the seigniorage, generated by the inflation process, with the intention to finance the fiscal deficit. This paper argues that the motivation for this policy can be captured by the discretionary regime, where the policymaker pays interest on reserves because he is concerned with the erosion of real liquidity by inflation, which is in part beyond his control. However, this policy is an unlikely outcome in the commitment regime, where the policymaker is in full control of inflation.     

Perspective on the Economic Evolution of the European Union States Under the Impact of the Pandemic and Financial-Economic Crisis

The European Union,which is at the beginning of its term of office for all Member States in the European Parliament,the European Commission,its governing body a...     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

Forecasting the price of gold

This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases.