Use of multi-criteria decision analysis to explore alternative domestic energy and electricity policy scenarios in an Irish city-region

In this paper, multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) was used to assess 6 policy measures or scenarios relating to residential heating energy and domestic electricity consumption, using an Irish city-region as case study. The analysis was undertaken using a modified version of MCDA based on the NAIADE (Novel Approach to Imprecise Assessment and Decision Environments) software and involved a decision output based on a mix of qualitative and quantitative assessment, which offered a ranking of options. It was concluded that Scenario 2, which proposes reducing energy and electricity consumption, was the most preferable option and Scenario 3, which proposes increasing the contribution of wood waste, was the least preferable option. This suggests that absolute reduction and demand management should be prioritised over fuel substitution or renewable energy technologies.     

A multi-criteria decision approach to sorting actions for promoting energy efficiency

This paper proposes a multi-criteria decision approach for sorting energy-efficiency initiatives, promoted by electric utilities, with or without public funds authorized by a regulator, or promoted by an independent energy agency, overcoming the limitations and drawbacks of cost–benefit analysis. The proposed approach is based on the ELECTRE-TRI multi-criteria method and allows the consideration of different kinds of impacts, although avoiding difficult measurements and unit conversions. The decision is based on all the significant effects of the initiative, both positive and negative, including ancillary effects often forgotten in cost–benefit analysis. The ELECTRE-TRI, as most multi-criteria methods, provides to the decision maker the ability of controlling the relevance each impact can have on the final decision in a transparent way. The decision support process encompasses a robustness analysis, which, together with a good documentation of the parameters supplied into the model, should support sound decisions. The models were tested with a set of real-world initiatives and compared with possible decisions based on cost–benefit analysis.     

An analytical method for the measurement of energy system sustainability in urban areas

Assessing the sustainability of urban energy systems and forecasting their development are important topics that have been the focus of recent research. In this paper, an approach for the measurement the sustainability of an urban energy system is introduced. The approach is based on prediction of the future energy needs within the consuming sectors of a city by specification of energy system development scenarios and validation of the scenarios by a multi-criteria decision method. Prediction of energy needs for the area of the city using the simulation model, model for analysis of the energy demands (MAED) is done. Finish the last level of aggregation, using the method of multi-criteria analysis, is getting the General Index of Sustainability (GIS), which shows a measure of the validity or viability, or quality of the investigated scenarios. In this way, the mathematical and graphical made a synthesis of all the indicators that are relevant to sustainable development. The accuracy in determining the mean of the GIS is checked by calculating the standard deviation. Also, a measure of reliability of the preference when watching a few consecutive scenarios was performed. The defined scenarios take into account the utilization of different energy sources, the exploitation of existing energy plants and infrastructure, and the building of new plants. The sustainability criteria are described by a unique set of economic, social and ecological indicators. The new approach was used to forecast the development of sustainable energy system in Belgrade, Serbia.     

SWOT analyses of the national energy sector for sustainable energy development

A holistic perspective of various energy stakeholders regarding the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOTs) of the energy sector in Macedonia is utilized as baseline to diagnose the current state and to sketch future action lines towards sustainable energy development. The resulting SWOT analyses pointed to the progressive adoption of European Union (EU) standards in energy policy and regulation as the most important achievement in the energy sector. The most important problems the national energy sector faces are scarce domestic resources and unfavorable energy mix, low electricity prices, a high degree of inefficiency in energy production and use, as well as insufficient institutional and human capacities. The formulated portfolio of actions towards enabling sustainable energy development urges the adoption of a comprehensive energy strategy built upon sustainability principles, intensified utilization of the natural gas, economic prices of electricity, structural changes in industry, promotion of energy efficiency and renewables, including Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects, enforcement of EU environmental standards and meeting the environmental requirements, as well as institutional and human capacity building.     

Sustainability assessment of wood-based bioenergy – A methodological framework and a case-study

The sustainability of the utilization of wood biomass for energy and other purposes has been widely assessed in different studies. Especially discrete methods from the family of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), such as Outranking methods, Multi-Attribute Utility Theory, and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) are often applied. AHP is considered one of the most promising options to be used in sustainability assessments, because it is comprehensible to apply and it incorporates the preferences of decision-makers in an advanced manner. In this study, we present a theoretical multi-dimensional framework based on a modified version of AHP for assessing sustainability and apply it in a case of wood-based bioenergy production in eastern Finland. The framework includes four dimensions of sustainability and life cycle phases from the acquisition of raw material to manufacturing the final product. The production systems used in the empirical sustainability assessments are a local heat production plant, a combined heat and power production plant, and a wood pellet processing plant. Local sustainability experts identified indicators relevant at the regional scale. The impact assessment data were obtained from literature, by interviewing the managers of the bioenergy plants, and from a postal survey administered to local people. The local heat provider received the highest sustainability index; however, there were no considerable differences between the sustainability indexes. None of the bioenergy production systems can be considered the most sustainable regardless of the assumptions employed in the framework. The framework provided the basis for a quantitative, interdisciplinary approach to assess sustainability.     

Mathematical analysis of fuel cell strategic technologies development solutions in the automotive industry by the TOPSIS multi-criteria decision making method

The mathematical techniques of decision making are among the most valuable outcomes of this research activity, which is generally referred to as realization in the operations, operational research or quantitative methods of decision making. Over time, with the increase in the complexity and the variety of decision making problems, the methods of decision making become more varied and will have more capability of problem solving. Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) is a collection of methodologies to compare, select, or rank multiple alternatives that involve incommensurate attributes. Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method is a multiple criteria method to identify solution from finite set of points.Due to the increase in environmental problems, including various forms of air contamination and to the decrease of fossil sources of energy in the world, there is an increasingly pressing need for a clean method of generating energy. In this paper, we seek to review the guidelines resulting in the strategic technologies of fuel cells as converters in the automotive industry and consider the capabilities and attractions of strategic technology and try to find the development solutions of fuel cell strategic technologies by technical-economical appropriate fields of attention and investment. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to rank the attractiveness and importance of the stack of fuel cells as a sub-system, as well as determine the amount of knowledge, specialized manpower and equipment needed in two industrial and laboratory scales and from among multi-criteria decision making methods, TOPSIS approach has been dealt with. In order to selecting required information in the evaluation stages of method by asking professional experts views, questionnaire method for data gathering was chosen. The results of this paper include ranked essential solutions for the development of technologies for fuel cells as the power systems for vehicles for allocating attention and investment in the sub-system of stacks of fuel cells by using the multi-criteria decision making selected method (TOPSIS).     

A Multi—Criteria Decision Making Procedured for the Analysis of an Energy System

In the course of improving and/or designing an energy system,either purely economic criteria,although theoverriding criteria,or purely energy-based criteria,although the emphasized criteria,can not separately handlereal-world situations in a satisfactory manner.The economic effectiveness and the energy efficiency mustbe considered simultaneously to demonstrate the conflicting and non-commensurable characteristics of thesemultiple criteria.An iterative and interactive approach to formulating and solving non-linear multi-criteria decision makingproblems for the analysis of an energy system is proposed.It allows the decision maker(DM)to learn fromthe available information and dynamically change his mind.Criterion functions can be treated as objectivefunctions,as constraints or as something in between by the DM.After a series of iterations and interactiveprocedures,a preferred solution can be made among the non-inferior sets considering thermodynamic criteriaand economic criteria simultaneously.A simple example for design of a heat exchanger is used to illustrate theprocedure.     

Hydrogen electrolyser for sustainable energy production: A bibliometric analysis and future directions

Sustainable energy demand drives innovation in energy production. Electrolysis of water can produce carbon-free hydrogen from renewable sources. This paper presents a bibliometric analysis of recent and highly referenced research on hydrogen electrolysers utilising the Scopus database to shed insight into future trends and applications. It has been discovered that the most frequently published type of study for top-ranked papers is the formulation of problems and simulations (38.3%), followed by a study of the state-of-the-art technology assessment (32.5%), laboratory research, design, and performance evaluation (24.2%), and reviews (5%). In general, 33.33% of articles focused on controlling hydrogen electrolyser efficiency. This study used different case studies from the global literature to conduct a complete evaluation of the electrolyser statistical analysis of the present state of the art, models or modes of operation, key challenges, outstanding issues, and future research. This evaluation will aid researchers in building a commercially successful hydrogen electrolyser.     

Integrated energy and carbon modeling with a decision support system: Policy scenarios for low-carbon city development in Bangkok

Energy use in Bangkok accounts for a large portion of the total energy consumption in Thailand. Few energy and carbon studies, however, have focused on the level of the city. International research indicates that cities are the key drivers of energy usage and the associated carbon emissions. This paper presents a study on the options for energy and carbon development for the city of Bangkok. The Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) model is used to simulate a range of policy interventions and to predict how these would change energy and carbon development from 2000 to 2025. The planning period is assumed to start in 2005, and 2000 is used as the baseline year. Sustainability of the sixteen proposed policies and scenarios is analyzed using a multi-criteria decision-making approach. Results of this study provide an insight into Bangkok's energy and carbon future and highlight the steps required to promote a sustainable low-carbon society. The most significant energy savings are in the transport sector, where a modal shift from private passenger vehicles to mass transit systems has the potential to significantly reduce energy demand, carbon emissions, and local air pollutants.     

Potential of sustainable energy technologies under CDM in Thailand: Opportunities and barriers

The paper presents results obtained from a much elaborated stakeholders’ assessment on potential of sustainable energy technologies conducted in Thailand. It also gives an overview of the status of clean development mechanism (CDM) portfolio in Thailand. The stakeholders from different sectors were contacted during the research and their feedbacks on potential of different technologies under CDM were discussed through a series of bilateral interviews. With the few selected technologies suitable in the context of CDM opportunities in Thailand, the sustainability benefits and barriers to their implementation are also discussed in detail. The suggestions provided by the stakeholders in overcoming a few key barriers are also given in the paper.     

Towards sustainable renewable energy technology in Africa

This paper is an appraisal of the mitigating factors against the sustainable development and diffusion of renewable energy technology in Africa. Further discussion also addresses the strategies that need to be adopted in order to overcome these constraints which are impeding the general technological and economic growth of the continent.     

Study on sustainable development of rural household energy in northern China

The status of rural household energy consumption plays an important role in farmers’ daily life, especially in developing countries or regions. Here, we review the evolution of the rural household energy consumption structure in northern China from 1996 to 2005. Studies indicate that the proportion of straw, firewood, and coal consumption in total energy consumption have remained at 88.8–91.0%, whereas the proportion of high-quality commercial energy and modern renewable energy is still very low. The main challenges for the sustainable development of rural household energy supply are an unreasonable energy consumption structure, low-energy efficiency, serious environmental degradation, a large gap in energy supply among regions, and difficulty in developing renewable energy. We suggest some countermeasures to overcome the obstacles involved in the sustainable development of rural household energy in northern China, from energy sources to sociopolitical policies.     

Quantitative analysis of sustainable energy strategies in China

This paper conducted quantitative study on China's sustainable energy strategies by using the econometric method. GDP growth will be over 6% annually between 2005 and 2030. The continuation of rapid economic growth could result in a lot of difficulties for energy security, environment protection, and CO₂ emissions reductions. For the sustainable development, more comprehensive strategies should be adopted, including improvement in energy efficiency with highest priority, enhancing development of renewable energy and promoting structural adjustment in transport sector, etc. At the same time, international cooperation such as establishing Asia Energy and Environment Agency towards Asia Community is also an important strategic option.     

The link between political decision-making and energy options: Assessing future role of renewable energy and energy efficiency in Finland

European Union and Finland are confronted with much the same kind of challenges in energy policy. Because of much higher importance on energy, these issues escalated earlier in Finland including vital political decision-making. Several alternative energy paths to the future can be identified with fairly similar projected costs. The more in-depth analysis in the Finnish case suggests that, e.g., an integrated approach consisting of renewable energy sources and energy efficiency measures would be one competitive alternative to satisfy both increasing energy demand and CO₂ emission reductions already by 2020. The study shows that meeting environmental, energy security and economical targets may not as such be adequate for the future success of an energy option. There is a more profound link between the energy options and the political decision-making, implying a much broader range of criteria than just the 3 Es reflecting thus politicians’ priorities and concerns. For example, in the Finnish case renewable energy sources and energy efficiency did not match optimally the parliamentary majority's preferences when deciding on future electricity direction in 2002. The methodology suggested here can be used to improve the strategic positioning of alternative energy paths.     

Struggling between resources-based and sustainable development schemes—An analysis of Egypt's recent energy policy

This paper discusses Egypt's recent energy sector and policy developments against objectives and issues of the energy policy strategy adopted in 2007. It reviews energy supply and demand, pricing and subsidies as well as institutional arrangements and respective reform projects from the perspective of assessing achievements. It identifies the consequences of the policy and the long-term outlook and reports on the internal policy struggle.     

Renewable energy for sustainable development in Africa: a review

Renewable energy usage in Africa has been reviewed using South Africa, Egypt, Nigeria and Mali as case studies. The various national energy policies of these countries were analysed and areas that require attention to achieve sustainability were highlighted. On the overall, the success of sustainable development in Africa lies in addressing the imminent energy crisis in the continent. Excessive usage of fuel wood is already creating considerable environmental problems especially in the Sahel. Africa has all the potentials to solve its energy problems if appropriate infrastructural support can be provided for harnessing the abundant renewable resources in the continent, and if skills are pooled together and experiences shared in addressing the key issues.     

Hydropower in Turkey for a clean and sustainable energy future

Over the last two decades, global electricity production has more than doubled and electricity demand is rising rapidly around the world as economic development spreads to emerging economies. Not only has electricity demand increased significantly, it is the fastest growing end-use of energy. Therefore, technical, economic and environmental benefits of hydroelectric power make it an important contributor to the future world energy mix, particularly in the developing countries. This paper deals with policies to meet increasing energy and electricity demand for sustainable energy development in Turkey. Turkey has a total gross hydropower potential of 433 GWh/year, but only 125 GWh/year of the total hydroelectric potential of Turkey can be economically used. By the commissioning of new hydropower plants, which are under construction, 36% of the economically usable potential of the country would be tapped. Turkey's total economically usable small hydropower potential is 3.75 GWh/year.     

Energy for sustainable development in Malaysia: Energy policy and alternative energy

Energy is often known as the catalyst for development. Globally, the per capita consumption of energy is often used as a barometer to measure the level of economic development in a particular country. Realizing the importance of energy as a vital component in economic and social development, the government of Malaysia has been continuously reviewing its energy policy to ensure long-term reliability and security of energy supply. Concentrated efforts are being undertaken to ensure the sustainability of energy resources, both depletable and renewable. The aim of this paper is to describe the various energy policies adopted in Malaysia to ensure long-term reliability and security of energy supply. The role of both, non-renewable and renewable sources of energy in the current Five-Fuel Diversification Strategy energy mix will also be discussed. Apart from that, this paper will also describe the various alternative energy and the implementation of energy efficiency program in Malaysia.     

Investigating the need of nuclear power plants for sustainable energy in Iran

Over the decades, the consumption of all types of energy such as electricity increased rapidly in Iran. Therefore, the government decided to redevelop its nuclear program to meet the rising electricity demand and decrease consumption of fossil fuels. In this paper, the effect of this policy in four major aspects of energy sustainability in the country, including energy price, environmental issues, energy demand and energy security have been verified. To investigate the relative cost of electricity generated in each alternative generator, the simple levelized electricity cost was selected as a method. The results show that electricity cost in fossil fuel power plants presumably will be cheaper than nuclear. Although the usage of nuclear reactor to generate power is capable of decreasing hazardous emissions into the environment, there are many other effective policies and technologies that can be implemented. Energy demand growth in the country is very high; neither nuclear nor fossil fuel cannot currently cope with the growth. So, the only solution is rationalizing energy demand by price amendment and encouraging energy efficiency. The major threats of energy security in Iran are high energy consumption growth and economic dependency on crude oil export. Though nuclear energy including its fuel cycle is Iran's assured right, constructing more nuclear power plants will not resolve the energy sustainability problems. In fact, it may be the catalyst for deterioration since it will divert capital and other finite resources from top priority and economic projects such as energy efficiency, high technology development and energy resources management.     

Sustainable energy planning by using multi-criteria analysis application in the island of Crete

The sustainable energy planning includes a variety of objectives, as the decision-making is directly related to the processes of analysis and management of different types of information (technological, environmental, economic and social). Very often, the traditional evaluation methods, such as the cost-benefit analysis and macro-economic indicators, are not sufficient to integrate all the elements included in an environmentally thorough energy plan. On the contrary the multiple criteria methods provide a tool, which is more appropriate to assemble and to handle a wide range of variables that is evaluated in different ways and thus offer valid decision support.