全新世亚洲季风演变

亚洲季风是气候系统的重要组成部分,包括东亚季风和印度季风。全新世以来季风变化历史和机制对预测未来季风变化至关重要,是季风数值模拟重要的边界条件。全新世季风变化主要受太阳辐照强度的控制,在太阳辐照变化总趋势的基础上还存在千年—百年尺度的气候突变,与北大西洋冷事件对应。8.2ka和4.2ka存在比较典型的两个弱季风事件,前者特征是高纬寒冷,后者特征是中低纬干旱。近千年以来的中世纪暖期和小冰期发生在人类活动对气候有明显影响之前,对二者变化机制的理解可以加深目前地球气候变化中是自然因素还是人类活动占主导的认识。全新世季风在整体上受太阳辐照强度变化的控制,千年至百年尺度上的气候突变与太阳活动、北大西洋气候振荡、赤道太平洋地区的SST变化等众多因素有关。季风变化尤其是快速气候变化时期的季风研究是季风气候预测的重点也是难点。全新世东亚夏季风与印度季风的变化在整体趋势上是一致的,千年—百年尺度的变化上存在相位差。而东亚冬季风(EAWM)和东亚夏季风(EASM)之间的相位关系还不明确,需要进一步研究。     

我国低纬季风区晚冰期以来水文变化：南岭东部高分辨率湖沼沉积记录

南岭东部定南大湖盆地湖沼相沉积高分辨率记录揭示了16.0cal ka BP以来的水文变化过程。由于该盆地主要以降水补给为主,故其水文变化过程是该地区气候与环境变化的忠实反映。多气候代用指标揭示晚冰期以来的Oldest Dryas、Blling、Older Dryas、Allerd和Younger Dryas等短尺度气候快速变化事件。10.0～6.0cal ka BP期间,该地区降水最为丰沛,暗示了夏季风在该时期最强盛,但在约9.7～9.4cal ka BP和8.8～8.2calka BP前后出现过降水骤减事件;在6.0～3.0cal ka BP期间,研究区降水显著减少,夏季风势力明显减弱。大湖盆地全新世气候变化记录与我国低纬度区域近年来的研究记录具有很好的一致性,说明低纬地区全新世适宜期应在10.0～6.0cal ka BP期间。在全球气候变化对比上,大湖盆地降水减少时期大多对应于北大西洋深水流或温盐循环减弱时期,也对应于北大西洋浮冰砾高峰时期;早全新世(10.0～6.0cal ka BP)降水丰沛期对应于北大西洋深水流加强时期;表明北大西洋深水流变化所导致的高低纬地区热量差异与我国低纬季风区过去气候变化有某种遥相关。此外,大湖盆地晚冰期以来气候变化趋势与北半球夏季太阳辐射量变化趋势吻合。因此笔者认为东亚低纬季风区晚冰期以来气候变化机制与太阳辐射量变化、大洋温盐循环等有关。     

临夏塬堡全新世黄土剖面古土壤有机质碳同位素的气候记录

对甘肃临夏塬堡全新世剖面古土壤有机质碳同位素分析表明, δ13 C变化范围在-28.23‰～25.19‰之间, 平均值为-26.88‰. 结合该剖面孢粉分析结果, 观察到在孢粉所反映的温暖湿润气候期间,δ13 C表现为高值, 而在干燥寒冷期间, δ13 C表现为低值. 说明由于气候变化引起了地表植被类型的改变, 导致了古土壤中有机质δ13 C发生了变化. δ13 C的变化特征分别对应于3个不同的气候演化阶段:早全新世、中全新世和晚全新世阶段, 其所反映的全新世气候特征与我国其它地区的分析结果基本一致. 分析表明, 古土壤中有机质δ13 C是气候变化的一个良好指标.     

西藏昌都崩勒溶洞石笋7 ka BP以来高分辨δ18O、δ13C记录的气候变化

通过对青藏高原崩勒溶洞石笋进行高精度的230 Th测年和C、O同位素分析,建立了中全新世7ka BP以来西藏昌都地区高分辨率的古气候变化记录。石笋C、O同位素记录揭示出,西藏昌都地区中全新世(约7ka BP)以来的气候演化大致可分为3个气候阶段:7000~4500aBP为暖期阶段,气候总体处于高温暖湿,伴随缓慢降温;4500~2300aBP为降温期阶段,出现持续降温,气候变得干旱;2300aBP至今为升温期阶段,气温及降水均出现波动上升。石笋C、O同位素记录的研究结果表明,中全新世以来研究区存在高温暖湿、快速降温干旱以及后期气候强烈震荡升温的气候过程。通过与董歌洞石笋同位素记录对比表明,崩勒溶洞石笋δ18 O同位素曲线变化的斜率、震荡幅度都要明显高于董歌洞石笋记录,揭示出青藏高原东部季风区的气候波动与全球性冷暖变化具有一致性,但高原石笋同位素记录对气候变化更加敏感。昌都石笋同位素反映的气候变化趋势与低纬地区夏季太阳辐射强度变化正相关,表明太阳辐射强度变化是高原季风影响区气候变化的重要驱动因素。     

青藏高原东北部风成沉积微量元素揭示的全新世千年尺度气候变化*

通过对青藏高原东北部共和盆地典型古土壤—风成砂剖面的释光（OSL）年代测定和沉积物中微量元素的分析,重建了区域全新世千年尺度的气候变化过程。研究表明,除Co、Rb、Sr和Ba以外的12种微量元素所反映的气候变化规律较显著,其含量变化曲线上的峰值段对应于古土壤层而谷值段对应于风成砂层,这一现象可作为气候暖湿、冷干波动的标志;区域全新世气候变化可分为以下阶段：11.8～10.0 ka气候寒冷干燥,10.0～9.2 ka气候逐渐趋于暖湿,9.2～4.6 ka气候相对冷干,4.6～0.7 ka气候相对暖湿,0.7 ka以来气候明显寒冷干燥;区域全新世气候变化中存在8次寒冷事件,与青藏高原和北大西洋揭示的寒冷期具有明显的对应关系,表明共和盆地千年尺度的气候变化与全球气候变化具有一致性。     

南海北部陆坡沉积记录的全新世早期夏季风极强事件

在AMS14C精确定年的基础上,通过南海北部MD05-2905站高分辨率的氧同位素、粒度、元素分析,其结果显示所有指标均在11.2～8.5kaB.P.期间发生异常,根据夏季风指标认为这是夏季风极强事件。将本站位相同纬度（20°N）的夏季平均日辐射量与季风指标进行对比,发现全新世早期（11.2～8.5kaB.P.）东亚夏季风极强事件对应着夏季太阳辐射量最大值和热带辐合带（ITCZ）的位置向北移动,说明全新世早期夏季风突然增强可能是在岁差周期控制下,较高的太阳辐射量驱动了热带辐合带（ITCZ）及其有关的雨场向北移动,在南海北部产生了大量的降水,导致氧同位素偏负、碳酸盐的含量较低以及线性沉积速率较高。这与前人对相邻地区湖光岩玛珥湖的孢粉研究、江西南岭地区泥炭的记录以及中国南方石笋记录的研究结果相吻合。该季风最强事件与阿拉伯海发现的早全新世季风最强事件以及根据格陵兰冰芯记录的早全新世甲烷最大值推测低纬地区湿地扩张相一致,这反映了南海北部全新世早期与全球低纬地区早全新世气候变化格局一致。     

我国西北夏季风边界千年尺度变化的证据--来自盐池和猪野泽盐类矿物分析结果

我国夏季风西北缘是响应长尺度气候变化最为敏感的区域之一, 但夏季风边界变化与千年尺度气候变化之间的关系尚不明确, 相关研究仍缺乏足够证据。夏季风西北缘湖泊沉积物中盐类矿物种类与含量的时空变化, 有助于推测气候变化特征。盐池和猪野泽分别位于祁连山北麓的河西走廊中段和东段, 是研究长时间尺度亚洲夏季风影响区西北边界变化的关键区域。研究全新世千年尺度下, 夏季风西北边界的变化对夏季风西北缘气候变化过程的影响, 对明确季风边缘区千年尺度季风变化机制, 预测未来长尺度气候变化有重要意义。因此, 本文选择盐池古湖泊盐池剖面(YC), 猪野泽青土湖01、02剖面(QTH01、QTH02)等三个剖面, 开展全新世千年尺度下, 亚洲季风西北边界地区湖泊沉积物盐类矿物时空变化对比研究。结果显示:QTH01、QTH02剖面盐类矿物以碳酸盐为主, 硫酸盐类矿物仅零星出现, 而YC剖面硫酸盐类矿物含量相对较高, 同时出现了氯化物型矿物, 全新世气候特征整体较猪野泽更为干旱。末次冰期和早全新世, 三个剖面受季风输送水汽影响明显, 碳酸盐类矿物能较好沉积, 季风边界在这一时期向北扩张, 推进到祁连山中段地区;中全新世QTH01、QTH02剖面受夏季风影响减弱, 湖泊退缩, 碳酸盐类矿物含量达到峰值, YC剖面则表现出极端干旱的气候特征, 硫酸盐类矿物因“盐效应”含量下降, 此时夏季风西北部水汽输送边界位于石羊河流域和盐池流域之间;晚全新世盐池和猪野泽均以风成沉积为主, 气候干旱, 碳酸盐类矿物难以保存, 硫酸盐和氯化物矿物含量出现高值, 说明夏季风西北边界进一步向南迁移。综上所述, 盐类矿物含量变化能良好反应夏季风西北缘全新世气候变化特征, 同时证明, 在全新世千年尺度上, 夏季风西北边界在盐池流域和石羊河流域之间存在变化。     

乌伦古湖全新世气候变化的环境磁学记录

对位于新疆北部阿勒泰地区福海县的乌伦古湖WLG10C孔岩芯进行了环境磁学分析,以平行孔(WLG10B) AMS14C测年为年代框架,重建了该地区全新世以来气候环境变化.结果显示:1)乌伦古湖磁性矿物以细颗粒亚铁磁性矿物为主,并含有少量不完整反铁磁性矿物和富铁绿泥石类粘土顺磁性矿物,磁学参数xARM和xARM/x可用作气候变化代用指标,记录了研究区气候环境变化;2)研究区在全新世早期(7300cal.aB.P.以前)为冷干气候,中、晚全新世(7300cal.aB.P.以来)为暖湿气候.在4600cal.aB.P.左右为该湖高湖面时期,在3500 ～2500cal.aB.P.之间存在与全球范围一致的突发冷事件.乌伦古湖全新世气候变化与周边环境记录较一致,气候变化模式符合中亚干旱区全新世气候变化西风模式.     

21 ka以来东亚夏季风区南部和北部气候变化的模拟与重建对比

古气候重建和模拟研究相结合可有效揭示气候变化的机制,但针对东亚夏季风区的相关研究还有待深入。文章基于现代观测数据及古气候记录的定量化重建结果,评估过去21 ka气候瞬变模拟(Transient Climate Evolution simulation over last 21000 years,简称TraCE-21ka)对现代东亚气候及古夏季风演变的再现能力,对比分析其异同并探索东亚夏季风区南部(SEASM)和北部(NEASM)特征时期的气候变化及可能的驱动机制。结果表明:TraCE-21ka模拟和定量化重建结果相对一致,即末次冰盛期偏干冷,全新世早中期偏暖湿,但模拟的变化幅度小于重建。相对于SEASM,NEASM变化幅度较显著。同时,SEASM的温度及降水和NEASM的温度在整个全新世期间模拟和重建的结果一致性较高,但NEASM模拟和重建的降水在晚全新世一致而早全新世不一致。相对于重建降水的南部和北部显著不同步变化,即南部降水在早全新世高而北部在中全新世高,模拟降水的南、北差异性较小,且为全新世持续减弱夏季风演变的结果。这种重建与模拟间的不同可能来源于地表过程对气候演变敏感度的区域性差异,也可能来源于粗分辨率模拟所造成的系统性气候偏移。     

千百年尺度气候快速变化及其数值模拟研究进展

千百年尺度全球气候快速变化是古气候研究中的一个重要内容。研究发现，末次冰期和全新世都存在着千年、百年尺度的快速气候变化，其变化幅度可以达到典型的地质变化或天文因子所造成的冰期/间冰期的气候振荡幅度，同时这些古气候事件具有全球性。对冰期和全新世气候变化的数值模拟揭示了气候系统对地球轨道参数变化的响应以及海洋、植被、冰盖、温室气体等反馈因子的重要性,其中大洋温盐环流对北大西洋淡水注入的敏感性与末次冰期和全新世气候快速变化密切相联。利用中等复杂程度的气候模式（EMIC）CLIMBER 2模拟了末次冰期典型时段（60~20 ka BP）D/O和Heinrich事件以及东亚气候的响应过程。模拟研究揭示了全新世青藏高原冰雪环境对亚洲—非洲季风气候的显著影响。今后的古气候模拟研究将在改进模式分辨率、结合古气候代用资料确定更加符合历史时期边界条件以进一步改善气候模式的基础上,更加注重气候突变机制的研究以及加强全球变化背景下的区域气候的长期变化研究。     

Testing solar forcing of pervasive Holocene climate cycles

The temporal and spatial extent of Holocene climate change is an area of considerable uncertainty, with solar forcing recently proposed to be the origin of cycles identified in the North Atlantic region. To address these issues we have developed an annually resolved record of changes in Irish bog tree populations over the last 7468 years which, together with radiocarbon‐dated bog and lake‐edge populations, extend the dataset back to ～9000 yr ago. The Irish trees underpin the internationally accepted radiocarbon calibration curve, used to derive a proxy of solar activity, and allow us to test solar forcing of Holocene climate change. Tree populations and age structures provide unambiguous evidence of major shifts in Holocene surface moisture, with a dominant cyclicity of 800 yr, similar to marine cycles in the North Atlantic, indicating significant changes in the latitude and intensity of zonal atmospheric circulation across the region. The cycles, however, are not coherent with changes in solar activity (both being on the same absolute timescale), indicating that Holocene North Atlantic climate variability at the millennial and centennial scale is not driven by a linear response to changes in solar activity. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

全新世事件3与古文化变迁

全新世事件3是1997年由Bond等提出的、指的是发生在4.2 ka BP左右的冷事件。此后,冰心、海洋沉积物、湖泊沉积物、石笋和泥炭等各种地质载体被广泛用于全新世事件3的研究当中。此次事件在全球范围内普遍存在,在北半球中、低纬度大部分地区以冷干的气候条件为主,而在北半球高纬度地区和南半球部分地区则以冷湿的气候条件为主。同时,这次冷干或者冷湿的气候波动对于当时世界范围内的古文化变迁产生了重要的影响,是造成非洲尼罗河流域古埃及文明、两河流域美索不达米亚古阿卡德帝国、印度河流域哈拉帕文明以及中国新石器文化的衰落的主要原因。而全新世事件3的主要成因很可能是当时太阳活动减弱,一方面导致北大西洋表层浮冰增加,表层海水温度降低,减弱了温盐循环,使海陆温差减小,季风减弱;另一方面使热带幅合带南移,在北半球中、低纬度大部分地区形成干旱降温事件。     

全新世北大西洋冷事件：年代学和气候影响

回顾了全新世北大西洋冷事件的研究,重点分析年代学和气候影响。首先,综合北大西洋8个深海沉积序列13种不同指标反映的冷事件,证明Bond等(1997)的研究是有代表性的。全新世的9次冷事件,由近及远编号 0～8,出现于0.4kaB.P.,1.4kaB.P.,2.8kaB.P.,4.2kaB.P.,5.9kaB.P.,8.1kaB.P.,9.4kaB.P.,10.3kaB.P.和11.1kaB.P.。其次,从早全新世到晚全新世逐一地综述了9次冷事件出现时间及气候影响。发现与冷事件对应的气候异常,主要表现为北半球高纬寒冷、低纬亚非季风区干旱。也有迹象表明出现冷事件时西－中欧及北美北部气候湿润。最后分析了冷事件的成因。早全新世冷事件可能与融冰淡水脉冲有关,中－晚全新世太阳活动减弱可能是冷事件发生主要原因,但不排除有气候系统内部振荡的影响。
      

The role of seasonality in abrupt climate change

A case is made that seasonality switches dominated by wintertime were instrumental in abrupt climate changes in the North Atlantic region during the last glaciation and into the Holocene. The primary evidence comes from mismatches between mean annual temperatures from Greenland ice cores in comparison with snowline changes in East Greenland, northern Europe, and North America. The most likely explanation is a shutdown (or reduction in strength) of the conveyor. This allows the spread of winter sea ice across the North Atlantic, thus causing the northern region to experience much colder winters. Because they mimic the Greenland temperature rather than the snowline signal, changes in the Atlantic Intertropical Convergence Zone and the Asian monsoon may also share a winter linkage with Greenland. Thus the paleoclimate record is consistent with the notion that a huge continental sector of the Northern Hemisphere, stretching from Greenland to Asia, was close to an extreme winter threshold during much of the last glaciation. Winter climate crossed this threshold repeatedly, with marked changes in seasonality that may well have amplified and propagated a signal of abrupt change throughout the hemisphere and into the tropics.     

Abrupt Holocene climate change and potential response to solar forcing in western Canada

Several abrupt climate events during the Holocene, including the widely documented oscillation at 8.2 thousand years before present (ka), are attributed to changes in the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Additional mechanisms, such as interactions between atmospheric circulation, ice-sheet dynamics, and the influence of solar irradiance, also have been proposed to explain abrupt climatic events, but evidence remains elusive. This study presents evidence from multi-proxy analyses on the Holocene sediments of Eleanor Lake, interior British Columbia. Climatic inferences from our decadal-resolution record of biogenic silica (BSi) abundance are supported by changes in diatom and pollen assemblages from the same core and correlations with existing regional climate records. The BSi record reveals abrupt and persistent climatic shifts at 10.2, 9.3, and 8.5 ka, the latter two of which are coeval with major collapses of the Laurentide Ice Sheet. The record also reveals a short-term cooling at 8.2 ka that is distinct from the 8.5 ka event and similar in magnitude to several other late-Holocene coolings. BSi is correlated with solar-irradiance indices (r = 0.43–0.61), but the correlation is opposite in sign to that expected from direct solar forcing and weakens after 8 ka. Possible mechanisms causing the abrupt and persistent climate changes of the early Holocene include 1) sudden losses of ice and proglacial lake extent, causing a shift in the meridional structure of atmospheric circulation, 2) a possible link between solar minima and El Niño-like conditions that are correlated with warm spring temperature in interior British Columbia, and 3) the influence of solar irradiance variability on the position of the polar jet, possibly via effects on the strength of the glacial anticyclone.     

Centennial-to-millennial fluctuations in July temperatures in North Finland as recorded by timberline tree rings of Scots pine

A tree-ring proxy of summer temperature anomalies for northern Finland for the past 7500 yr was analyzed using Fourier spectrum and wavelet approaches. Multicentennial (250-450 yr) variability is present in the proxy record during most of the time range. This variability is suggested to reflect low-frequency variability in the North Atlantic Oscillation. Century-scale (90-130 yr) variation is another important feature of the tree-ring proxy data during the Holocene and may be attributed to Glessberg solar activity variations. In addition, an approximately 2000-yr quasi-period is found in this temperature proxy data, similar to the millennial-scale variability, present in many climate records from the North Atlantic region. The results point to the importance of multiple forcings underlying significant Holocene climatic fluctuations.     

Holocene bipolar climate seesaw: possible subtle evidence from the deep North East Atlantic Ocean?

The occurrence of a millennial‐scale bipolar climate seesaw has been documented in detail for the last glacial period and Termination. There is, however, debate whether it occurs during interglacials and if it does what influence it could have on future climate. We present here new evidence from a North East Atlantic Ocean deep‐sea core which supports the hypothesis for a Holocene bipolar climate seesaw. BENGAL Site 13078#16, from the Porcupine Abyssal Plain, is 4844 m deep and situated at the North Atlantic Deep Water and Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) interface. Planktic foraminiferal fragment accumulation rate data at this site is an indicator of coarse carbonate dissolution, which is highly sensitive to the incursion of under‐saturated AABW. Five dissolution peaks have been identified, which seem to occur approximately 500 a after each of the North Atlantic 'Bond' ice rafting pulses, suggesting a subsequent subtle shallowing of AABW. This indicates a possible lagged climatic link between North East Atlantic surface water conditions and AABW production in the Southern Ocean during the Holocene. This provides the first tentative evidence that there was a Holocene bipolar climate seesaw and that the deep ocean was involved. This study also suggests that extremely sensitive locations need to be sought as the Holocene bipolar climate seesaw seems to be very subtle compared with its glacial counterparts. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Mid-to-late Holocene climate change record in palaeo-notch sediment from London Island,Svalbard

The Arctic region is very sensitive to climate change and important in the Earth’s climate system. However, proxy datasets for Arctic climate are unevenly distributed and especially scarce for Svalbard because glaciers during the Little Ice Age, the most extensive in the Holocene, destroyed large quantities of sediment records in Svalbard. Fortunately, palaeo-notch sediments could withstand glaciers and be well-preserved after deposition. In this study, we reconstructed a mid-to-late Holocene record of climate changes in a palaeo-notch sediment sequence from London Island. Multiple weathering indices were determined, they all showed consistent weathering conditions in the study area, and they were closely linked to climate changes. Total organic carbon (TOC) and total nitrogen (TN) were also determined, and their variation profiles were similar to those of weathering indices. The climate change record in our sediment sequence is consistent with ice rafting record from North Atlantic and glacier activity from Greenland, Iceland and Svalbard, and four cold periods are clearly present. Our study provides a relatively long-term climate change record for climate conditions from mid-to-late Holocene in Svalbard.     

Synchronous climate anomalies in the western North Pacific and North Atlantic regions during the last 14,000 years

A peat cellulose δ¹⁸O record spanning around 14,000 years from the Hani peat mire in northeastern China reveals several abrupt temperature anomalies in the period from the last deglaciation through the Holocene. The timing of these anomalies coincides well with the notable cooling events recorded respectively using the GISP2 ice core and ice-rafted sediment of the North Atlantic Ocean, such as the Older Dryas, Inter-Allerød, Younger Dryas, and the nine ice-rafted debris events. The results demonstrate that this repeating pattern of abrupt temperature deterioration is not limited to the North Atlantic area at high latitude but also exists in the western North Pacific region at middle latitude. The synchronous temperature anomalies possibly are resulted from the joint effects of meltwater discharge into the North Atlantic Ocean and reduced solar activity. In the period from around 8600 to 8200 cal. yrs BP the Hani peat record shows a broad δ¹⁸O peak that may reflect compound climate signals resulting from the two kinds of forcing factors: the temperature drop related to reduced solar activity at around 8600–8250 cal. yrs BP, and the temperature anomaly attributed to the meltwater effect at around 8220 ± 70 cal. yrs BP. This result may provide palaeo-temperature evidence for existence of the sharp “8.2 k” event in the western North Pacific region. In addition, our results have revealed that in the period from the last deglaciation through the Holocene the synchronous temperature anomalies before and after the “8.2 k” event seem to be related to meltwater outflow and reduced solar activity, respectively. It is important that the all temperature anomalies—whether because of reduced solar activity in the late Holocene or from meltwater discharge in the early Holocene—are accompanied by an abrupt decline in the Indian Ocean summer monsoon and abrupt strengthening of the East Asian summer monsoon. It is likely that reduced solar activity and meltwater outflow appear to modulate Earth system changes in the same direction. The influences could be compounded. Reduced solar activity and meltwater outburst both appear to act as triggers for occurrence of the El Niño phenomenon in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, which may result in broad teleconnections between the temperature anomaly in the Northern Hemisphere and abrupt variation of the Asian monsoon.