Application of artificial neural networks in tide-forecasting

An accurate tidal forecast is an important task in determining constructions and human activities in ocean environments. Conventional tidal forecasting has been based on harmonic analysis using the least squares method to determine harmonic parameters. However, a large number of parameters are required for the prediction of a long-term tidal level with harmonic analysis. Unlike conventional harmonic analysis, this paper presents an artificial neural network (ANN) model for forecasting the tidal-level using the short term measuring data. The ANN model can easily decide the unknown parameters by learning the input–output interrelation of the short-term tidal records. Three field data with three types of tides will be used to test the performance of the proposed ANN model. The numerical results indicate that the hourly tidal levels over a long duration can be predicted using a short-term hourly tidal record.     

Back-propagation neural network for long-term tidal predictions

During the recent years, the availability of accurate ocean tide models has become increasingly important, as tides are the main contributor to disposal and movement of sediments, tracers and pollutants, and to a whole range of offshore applications in engineering, environmental observations, exploration and oceanography. Tides can be conventionally predicted by harmonic analysis, which is the superposition of many sinusoidal constituents with amplitudes and frequencies determined by a local analysis of the measured tide. However, accurate predictions of tide levels could not be obtained without a large number of tide measurements by the harmonic method. An application of the back-propagation neural network using short-term measuring data is presented in this paper. On site tidal level data at Taichung Harbor in Taiwan will be used to test the performance of the present model. Comparisons with conventional harmonic methods indicate that the back-propagation neural network mode also efficiently predicts the long-term tidal levels.     

潮汐调和分析与应用研究

基于长江口外鸡骨礁、绿华山潮位站多年实测潮汐资料,开展潮汐调和分析与应用研究。采用最小二乘法计算调和常数,研究不同分潮组合及不同资料长度对调和分析结果的影响。采用规范法及直接预报法计算深度基准面,并分析计算结果。采用余水位订正方法推算潮位,并进行精度验证。结果表明:调和分析精度随分潮个数的增加而提高;采用年实测潮汐资料调和分析的精度总体高于采用多年实测潮汐资料调和分析的精度;采用预报年份相邻的年实测潮汐资料进行潮汐预报精度较高;理论最低潮面计算值,规范法较直接预报法偏小。基于绿华山站与鸡骨礁站实测资料进行余水位推算验证,精度基本满足实用要求。     

A study of estuarine flow using the roving adcp data

A study of estuarine flows during a neap tide was performed using 13-hour roving acoustic Doppler current profiles (ADCP) and conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) profiles in the Altamaha River estuary, Georgia, U.S.A. The least-squared harmonic analysis method was used to fit the tidal (M₂) component and separate the flow into two components: the tidal and residual (M₂-removed) flows. We applied this method to depth-averaged data. Results show that the M₂ component demonstrates over 95% of the variability of observation data. As the flow was dominated by the M2 tidal component in a narrow channel, the tidal ellipse distribution was essentially a back-and-forth motion. The amplitude of M2 velocity component increased slightly from the river mouth (0.45 m/sec) to land (0.6 m/sec) and the phase showed fairly constant values in the center of the channel and rapidly decreasing values near the northern and southern shoaling areas. The residual flow and transport calculated from depth-averaged flow shows temporal variability over the tidal time scale. Strong landward flows appeared during slack waters which may be attributed to increased baroclinic forcing when turbulent mixing decreases.     

数据融合下的短期潮位预报测试及分析

针对短期验潮数据分析难度大、预报精度低的问题,设计了一种基于数据融合技术的短期潮位预报方法,利用扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF),将通用的潮汐模型计算水位融合到调和预报模型之中,生成精度更高的融合预报值。数据测试表明,对于3天的验潮数据,EKF方法至少对向后5天的预报有效,融合值较两种源数据的平均优化度分别为33%和60%;对于7天的验潮数据,EKF方法在向后20天的预报中几乎都产生了优化效果。该方法适宜在资料缺乏的海区使用,为短期潮位预报提供了一种新的解决方案。     

航空重力数据谐波小波滤波中卷积运算的处理

数据的滤波提取是航空重力测量数据处理的一个重要环节。谐波小波滤波器在频域具有良好的盒形谱特征,可以较好地实现信号的滤波。但谐波小波滤波器是一个连续函数,航空重力测量采集的信号是离散的,无法直接进行卷积运算。讨论了谐波小波用于航空重力数据滤波处理时的卷积运算处理方法,给出了谐波小波频域卷积的算法实现过程和仿真算例。     

局部重力场球冠谐分析中的导数计算及应用

在建立局部地区的地球重力场模型中,球冠谐分析是一种有效的方法。在球冠坐标系下建立重力场模型时,仅涉及到重力位的垂向分量,不必进行关于极角的微分运算,所以仅用单个正交基来建模,但若要在球冠坐标系下对重力场作进一步分析,如类似于平面处理的导数运算,来突出地质体的边界,要计算极角的微分,利用单个正交基表示则不易收敛,且误差较大。本文中作者采用两个正交基函数在球冠坐标系下对重力场建模,推导计算了径向导数和曲面导数模,并利用棱柱体正演模型进行检验,结果表明双基函数建模更适合曲面上的位场表示。最后计算了冲绳海槽地区卫星测高重力异常数据的曲面导数,径向导数清晰划分了东海陆架上大构造单元,曲面导数梯度带显示了东海陆架外缘隆起带,也指示了陆架盆地内的一些局部构造。这表明双基函数的球冠谐分析是一种有效的曲面位场建模方法。     

Three-dimensional dynamic sea surface modeling based on ocean wave spectrum

In conventional marine seismic exploration data processing, the sea surface is usually treated as a horizontal free boundary. However, the sea surface is affected by wind and waves and there often exists dynamic small-range fluctuations. These dynamic fluctuations will change the energy propagation path and affect the final imaging results. In theoretical research, different sea surface conditions need to be described, so it is necessary to study the modeling method of dynamic undulating sea surface. Starting from the commonly used sea surface mathematical simulation methods, this paper mainly studies the realization process of simple harmonic wave and Gerstner wave sea surface simulation methods based on ocean wave spectrum, and compares their advantages and disadvantages. Aiming at the shortcomings of the simple harmonic method and Gerstner method in calculational speed and sea surface simulation effect, a method based on wave equation and using dynamic boundary conditions for sea surface simulation is proposed. The calculational speed of this method is much faster than the commonly used simple harmonic method and Gerstner wave method. In addition, this paper also compares the new method with the more commonly used higher-order spectral methods to show the characteristics of the improved wave equation method.     

Question of the pitch-roll buoy response to ocean waves as a simple harmonic oscillator?

The assumption that the East and North deck slopes of a pitch–roll buoy respond to East and North sea slopes as simple harmonic oscillators is routinely made by the National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) and others producing directional wave data. Although directional wave data derived with this assumption usually appear to be of good quality, the validity of the assumption has not previously been more directly demonstrated. In this paper, a method is proposed to judge the validity of the assumption for any set of time series records of buoy angular motion. The proposed method is applied to 200 record sets taken by an NDBC buoy located at ocean station 46024, and to five record sets taken by another NDBC buoy at 46051. For the 46024 data, it was demonstrated that the simple harmonic oscillator assumption was near perfectly valid. For the smaller 46051 data set, the simple harmonic oscillator assumption was shown to be slightly less valid.     

基于卫星测高数据的潮汐分析方法对比研究

基于卫星测高数据的潮汐分析是建立海潮模型的基本方法之一,主要包括调和分析方法和正交响应分析方法。利用上述两种方法对中国海和西太平洋海域的Topex/Poseidon(TP)、Jason-1(J1)和Jason-2(J2)卫星测高数据进行了潮汐分析,并将两种方法的计算结果进行对比研究。结果表明,观测时间序列的长度对潮汐信息提取的准确度有较大影响。满足分离任意两个分潮会合周期的卫星测高观测时间序列下,两种方法的准确度基本相同。短时段的数据受混叠效应影响明显,正交响应分析较调和分析准确度更高。     

A wavelet-based test for swell stationarity

The temporal behaviour of swell is examined using the wavelet transform, and a test of stationarity using the wavelet transform is described. The method is demonstrated on time series data from a Directional Waverider buoy deployed at Duck, North Carolina, and it is shown that non-stationary sea states are usually associated with local wind-sea growth rather than significant changes in the swell component, which can be considered stationary for at least as long as the 160-min records. This is close to the 3-h duration that is typically assumed for a stationary sea state. The stationary character of swell is an important result for offloading from an LNG barge to carrier.     

基于T/P和Jason-1/2卫星高度计海面高度数据获取南海同潮图的研究

随着卫星高度计资料的不断丰富,通过对卫星高度计所得潮汐调和常数进行插值或拟合得到潮汐同潮图成为可能。本文拟对T/P(TOPEX/POSEIDON)、Jason-1和Jason-2卫星高度计数据进行分析,得到南海区域星下观测点处四个主要分潮(M2、S2、K1和O1分潮)的调和常数,进而利用双调和样条插值方法对其进行插值,获取南海同潮图。首先,以1992～2016年T/P和Jason卫星高度计所得海面高度数据为基础,利用调和分析方法计算了南海星下观测点处M2、S2、K1和O1四个主要分潮的调和常数,并与40个验潮站数据进行了对比,最大矢量均差为4.99cm,说明分析所得调和常数与利用验潮站资料提取的调和常数的误差较小。进而采用双调和样条插值方法对星下点调和常数进行插值,得到了南海四个主要分潮的同潮图,所得结果与全球潮汐模型TPXO7.2模式结果的矢量均差分别为4.69、2.46、3.13和2.42 cm,与141个验潮站处观测结果的矢量均差分别为22.59、10.26、10.24和8.51 cm。此外,插值所得四个主要分潮的无潮点位置与前人研究结果相近。上述实验结果表明:利用双调和样条插值方法对卫星高度计所得调和常数进行插值能够获取较为准确的同潮图。     

SPT-CPT Correlation and Its Application for Liquefaction Evaluation in China

The standard penetration test (SPT) and cone penetration test (CPT) are the two most commonly used in-situ tests. In this paper, SPT-CPT correlation is investigated using statistical and regression method based on a database of in-situ tests. Two correlation equations of the SPT N-value and the CPT cone tip resistance q_c are proposed. The equations are applied for the liquefaction potential evaluation. Three effect factors including the soil type, mean particle size, and fine content are investigated for SPT-CPT correlation. The simple correlation can be used for the preliminary site investigation with least data and information. The comprehensive one can give more accurate result with detailed data. These two correlation equations are useful for different purposes with different accuracies. The liquefaction evaluations using the proposed correlation method are compared with those from the Chinese code method. It is shown that the proposed correlation can be helpful for site investigation and geotechnical design in practice.     

An experimental method to identify a component of wave orbital motion in propeller effective inflow velocity and its effects on load fluctuations of a ship main engine in waves

Improvements of estimation accuracy on propeller torque fluctuations in waves will contribute assessments on safe operation of a ship main engine as in adverse sea condition. The propeller torque and thrust in waves can be estimated by propeller effective inflow velocity in waves, using the propeller open-water characteristics. Fluctuation components in the mathematical model of the propeller effective inflow velocity in waves can be composed of two components, respectively caused by ship surge motion and wave orbital motion at propeller position. In this study, an experimental method by the model test to directly identify the characteristics of the component by the wave orbital motion is newly proposed. Furthermore, the free-running model test in regular waves, using a simulator of the marine diesel engine which manages the shaft speed of the motor on a ship model as behaving the actual diesel engine, is carried out to obtain realistic torque fluctuations for comparisons of the estimated results applying the proposed identification method. Through comparisons of estimated fluctuations with the measured results, the proposed approach for the component of the inflow velocity due to wave orbital motion is successfully validated.     

东海三定点周日海流观测的准调和分析

应用短期资料的潮流准调和分析方法，对东海三定点测站获得的表、中、底3层的25h连续海流资料进行了分析，计算了3测站O1，K1，M2，S2，M4，MS4 6个主要分潮的北、东分量潮流调和常数，并给出了各测站在各层的潮流椭圆要素。计算结果表明：该海区潮流属于正规半日潮流性质，半日分潮流的北分量大于东分量，呈现旋转流的性质，按顺时针向旋转。分析结果也反映出表层、中层的浅水分潮在观测海流中所占的份额高于底层的浅水分潮。结果有助于了解该海区的潮流性质并为潮流数值模拟提供校验实测数据。通过与同期获得的悬浮物浓度剖面数据的比对，将有助于研究潮流与该地区悬浮泥沙浓度分布之间的关系。     

On the predictability of mode-1 internal tides

A frequency-wavenumber tidal analysis for deriving internal-tide harmonic constants from TOPEX/Poseidon (T/P) measurements of sea-surface height (SSH) has been developed, taking advantage of the evident temporal and spatial coherence and the weak dissipation of internal tides. Previous analyses consisted of simple tidal analysis at individual points, which gave inconsistent harmonic constants at altimeter track crossover points. Such analyses have difficulty in distinguishing between the effects of interference, incoherence, and dissipation. The frequency-wavenumber analysis provides an objective way to interpolate the internal tides measured along altimetry tracks to any arbitrary point, while leveraging all available data for optimal tidal estimates. Tidal analysis of T/P data from 2000 to 2007 is used to predict in situ time series measured during the 2001-2002 Hawaiian Ocean mixing experiment (HOME), the 1987 reciprocal tomography experiment (RTE87), and the 1991 acoustic mid-ocean dynamics experiment (AMODE), demonstrating both the temporal coherence and the lack of incoherent elements to this wave propagation. It has been conjectured that significant energy would be lost from mode-1 internal tides as they cross the 28.9°N critical latitude of parametric subharmonic instability (PSI). No apparent change in amplitude at 28.9°N was detected by this analysis, however. Further, after correcting for changes in background stratification, the amplitude of the mode-1 internal tide was found to decrease by less than 20% over the 2000 km between the Hawaiian Ridge and 40°N. A significant fraction of the variability of internal waves, that component associated with mode-1 internal tides, appears to be predictable over most of the world's oceans, using harmonic constants derived from satellite altimetry.     

不同Legendre函数递推公式对计算球谐函数定积分的影响

针对球谐函数定积分计算中Legendre函数递推问题展开研究,分析了标准向前列推法、Belikov法、跨阶次法、X数法以及顾及麦克劳林级数展开式对球谐函数定积分计算的影响。利用Eigen6c-4地球重力场模型计算扰动引力梯度径向分量,分析不同方法之间的差异。实验表明,不考虑麦克劳林级数展开式时4种方法的相对精度在高纬度地区较差,但计算模型扰动引力径向分量的精度一致,结合麦克劳林级数式可提高高纬度地区定积分计算的相对精度,但会降低中低纬度地区定积分计算的精度,并且对高纬度地区扰动引力径向分量的影响极小,但会严重降低低纬度地区扰动引力梯度计算的精度。     

Axial friction response of full-scale pipes in soft clays

The axial friction response of subsea pipelines in soft clays is a very important aspect for designers of subsea pipelines but the response is not well understood so far. There is a pressing need for the comprehension of the response. In this paper, model tests are performed using full-scale pipes coated with polyethylene (PE) to study the effects of the set-up period, the pipe diameter, the buried depth of the pipe, the shear strength of soft clays and the loading rate on the axial friction response of pipelines in soft clays. The variations of the axial friction coefficient are analyzed using the effective stress method based on model test results. The results show that the axial friction resistance increases with the increasing pipe diameter but the effect of the pipe diameter on the axial friction coefficient can be neglected. The ultimate axial resistance also increases with the increase of the buried depth of pipelines, the undrained shear strength of soft clays and the loading rate. The axial friction coefficient increases with the increasing loading rate. However, the axial friction coefficient decreases with the increasing buried depth. The method to determine the axial friction coefficient is developed by analyzing model test results, which considers the effects of the diameter, the buried depth, the undrained shear strength of soft clays and the loading rate. The study results not only extend the industry data base but also supply a basis to determine the axial friction coefficient of PE-coated pipes in soft clays for ocean engineering geological investigations.     

南黄海辐射沙洲近岸海域波浪特性研究

Errors will be caused in calculating the fatigue damages of details in liquid cargo tanks by using the traditional spectral analysis method which is based on linear system, for the nonlinear relationship between the dynamic stress and the ship acceleration. An improved spectral analysis method for the assessment of the fatigue damage in detail of a liquid cargo tank is proposed in this paper. Based on assumptions that the wave process can be simulated by summing the sinusoidal waves in different frequencies and the stress process can be simulated by summing the stress processes induced by these sinusoidal waves, the stress power spectral density (PSD) is calculated by expanding the stress processes induced by the sinusoidal waves into Fourier series and adding the amplitudes of each harmonic component with the same frequency. This analysis method can take the nonlinear relationship into consideration and the fatigue damage is then calculated based on the PSD of stress. Take an independent tank in an LNG carrier for example, the accuracy of the improved spectral analysis method is proved much better than that of the traditional spectral analysis method by comparing the calculated damage results with the results calculated by the time domain method. The proposed spectral analysis method is more accurate in calculating the fatigue damages in detail of ship liquid cargo tanks.