Predicting nursing home admissions among incontinent older adults: a comparison of residential differences across six years

Whether or not rates of nursing home admissions among elders with urinary incontinence varied by their place of residence was investigated. We also examined whether any observed residential differences could be accounted for by factors other than incontinence that are known to influence rates of institutionalization. Data from the Longitudinal Study on Aging (1984-1990) were used to examine a sample who at baseline lived in community settings and reported problems with urinary incontinence (n = 719). Analyses indicate that residents of less urbanized and thinly populated nonmetropolitan counties were more likely to have a nursing home admission than elders in any other residential context. More importantly, these residential differences persisted in multivariate logistic regression models after controls were introduced for sociodemographic characteristics, measures of health status, and indicators of the social support networks of the elders.     

National distribution of child and adolescent psychiatrists

OBJECTIVE: To describe the national distribution of child and adolescent psychiatrists by state, community, and youth population. METHOD: Data on child and adolescent psychiatrists were compiled for states and counties and compared by state, county characteristics, number of youth, percentage of youth living in poverty, and child and adolescent psychiatry residents. RESULTS: The number of child and adolescent psychiatrists per 100,000 youth varied greatly by state and county. Child and adolescent psychiatrists were significantly more likely to be located in metropolitan counties and counties with a low percentage of children living in poverty. The distribution of child and adolescent psychiatrists was not significantly related to the distribution of child and adolescent psychiatry residency training programs. CONCLUSIONS: The shortage of child and adolescent psychiatrists is accentuated for nonmetropolitan areas and youth at greatest risk for mental disorders by the current pattern of distribution.     

State variations in supplemental security income enrollment for children and adolescents

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of poverty, program generosity, and health on state variations in enrollment of children and adolescents in the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program during recent program expansions. METHODS: The relationship of state SSI rates for 1989 and 1992 to child poverty, health, and program generosity were determined by multiple regression. RESULTS: The mean percentage of children enrolled grew from 0.36% (1989) to 0.75% (1992). Poverty rates accounted for 78% of the variance among states in 1989 and 53% in 1992. Other indicators accounted for little variance. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in state poverty levels explained almost all variation in SSI enrollment.     

Differential responses in anterior pituitary luteinizing hormone (LH) content and LH beta- and alpha-subunit mRNA, and plasma concentrations of LH and testosterone, in bulls treated with the LH-releasing hormone agonist deslorelin

Tooth loss diminishes oral function and quality of life, and national health targets aim to reduce population levels of tooth loss. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine tooth loss incidence and predictors of tooth loss among older adults in South Australia. METHODS: Data were obtained from a cohort study of a stratified random sample of community-dwelling dentate people aged 60+ years. Interviews and oral examinations were conducted among 911 individuals at baseline and among 693 of them (76.1%) 2 years later. Incidence rates and relative risks were calculated for population subgroups and multivariate logistic regression was used to construct risk prediction models. A method was developed to calculate 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for relative risks (RR) from logistic regression models using a Taylor series approximation. RESULTS: Some 19.5% (95% CI = 15.4-23.6%) of people lost one or more teeth during the 2 years. Men, people with a recent extraction, people who brushed their teeth infrequently, smokers and people born outside Australia had significantly (P < 0.05) greater risk of tooth loss. Baseline clinical predictors of tooth loss included more missing teeth, retained roots, decayed root surfaces, periodontal pockets and periodontal recession. In a multivariate model that controlled for baseline clinical predictors, former smokers (RR = 2.55, 95% CI = 1.48-4.40) and current smokers (RR = 2.06, 95% CI = 0.92-4.62) had similarly elevated risks of tooth loss compared with non-smokers. CONCLUSIONS: The findings from this population suggest that a history of smoking contributes to tooth loss through mechanisms in addition to clinical disease processes alone.     

Surveillance for geographic and secular trends in congenital syphilis--United States, 1983-1991

PROBLEM/CONDITION: CDC monitors trends in the occurrence of congenital syphilis (CS) in the United States by using surveillance data sent from state and local health departments. Comparisons of data from this surveillance system with data from the Division of Sexually Transmitted Diseases/HIV Prevention and the Birth Defects Monitoring Program (BDMP) can be used to assess the potential effects of changes in case finding and reporting practices on these trends. REPORTING PERIOD COVERED: This report covers CS surveillance in the United States for the years 1983-1991. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: Cases of CS among infants < 1 year of age and primary and secondary (P&S) syphilis among women are reported quarterly to CDC. The BDMP is a CDC national surveillance system that samples hospital discharge data on U.S. births. RESULTS: During the period 1983-1991, 12,151 CS cases were reported. Before 1988, regional CS incidence increased 35%-131% annually. Larger increases occurred in the Northeast (578%) in 1989 and in the South (178%), Midwest (244%), and West (777%) in 1990. Within regions, these larger increases were temporally related to increases in P&S syphilis in women and changes to a more sensitive CS case definition. INTERPRETATION: CS incidence has increased since 1983 in all regions of the United States. Increases since 1988 reflect both changes in surveillance reporting practices--the surveillance case definition for CS was changed in 1988 and further revised in 1989--and a true increase in incidence. ACTIONS TAKEN: These data indicate where CS prevention efforts need to be targeted. To facilitate reporting of CS cases, CDC has developed a) a shorter form for reporting cases of CS after 1991 and b) a software package for use by state and local health departments to enter and analyze CS data.     

Changing trends in melanoma incidence and mortality

OBJECTIVES: This article analyzes trends in melanoma incidence and mortality rates. Information on sun exposure supplements these statistics. DATA SOURCES: Melanoma incidence data were obtained from the National Cancer Incidence Reporting System and from the Canadian Cancer Registry. Cancer mortality data were extracted from the Canadian Vital Statistics Data Base. Information on sun exposure is from the 1996 Sun Exposure Survey. ANALYTICAL TECHNIQUES: Incidence and mortality rates were age-standardized to the 1991 Canadian population to account for changes in the age structure of the population over time. The average annual percentage changes in age-specific rates were calculated for selected time periods. MAIN RESULTS: After years of steady increases, melanoma incidence and mortality rates have levelled off as a result of declining rates in younger age groups, and for melanoma of the trunk among men and of the leg among women. Incidence rates for men are now higher than those for women; mortality rates for men are twice as high as for women.     

Factors related to potentially preventable hospitalizations among the elderly

OBJECTIVES: The authors examine whether the odds of having a hospitalization associated with an ambulatory care sensitive condition can be explained by observed differences in a Medicare beneficiary's predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics. METHODS: A multivariate cross-sectional analysis of Medicare's administrative inpatient claims data and the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey was conducted on a nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries. Each Medicare beneficiary's hospital utilization was classified into one of three categories: (1) no hospital admissions; (2) hospitalized, but no hospitalizations for a potentially preventable condition; and (3) at least one potentially preventable hospitalization. RESULTS: The results suggest that being older, black, or living either in a core standard metropolitan statistical area (SMSA) county or a rural county significantly increases the odds of a preventable hospitalization, whereas having attended college, or having only Medicare insurance coverage reduces the odds of a preventable hospitalization. Further, those individuals who assess their health status as poor, have had coronary heart disease, a myocardial infarction, or diabetes, and required assistance with two or more of the six basic activities of daily living are at a greater risk of a preventable hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Policy efforts aimed at reducing the number of preventable hospitalizations among the elderly should address the complex health care delivery needs of those Medicare beneficiaries who have special health care needs because they are very old, black, live in core SMSA or rural counties, have poor overall health status, and have physical limitations. Efforts to reduce the number of Medicare beneficiaries who experience a preventable hospitalization may be cost-effective as these beneficiaries may account for up to 17.4% of Medicare's reimbursement for inpatient, outpatient, and physician services in our data set.     

Cancer mortality and asbestos deposits

Asbestos deposits are found in many parts of the United States. In this paper the question is asked: Is there an increase in risk from cancer associated with naturally-occurring asbestos? In an attempt to control for the urban effect, geographic gradient and socioeconomic class, each county in the United States with asbestos deposits was matched for percent of area that was urban and for median years in school with two nearby counties that did not have known asbestos deposits. The study of cancer mortality rates in these matched counties provides no evidence that naturally-occurring asbestos is a great hazard to the general population of counties with asbestos depostis.     

Sociodemographic characteristics and individual health behaviors

BACKGROUND: We examined individual demographics and socioeconomic status to learn how they were related to major health behavior (ie, exercise, smoking, and diet), and the sociodemographic predictors of healthy versus unhealthy behavior. METHODS: The study was based on data collected through the 1994 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) of South Carolina. More than 2,000 South Carolina adults who lived in households with telephones were randomly selected and interviewed by telephone to obtain the data. RESULTS: The current report confirms much of the literature on the relationship between sociodemographic characteristics and health behavior. It also shows that controlling for sociodemographic influences, women, individuals with a college education, and the 18 to 24 and 65+ age groups were more likely to practice a cluster of healthy behaviors than men, individuals with less or no education, and the 25 to 44 age group. Race and marital status were not significantly associated with healthy behavior patterns. CONCLUSIONS: An important policy implication of the study is the need for targeted health promotion activities on the risk groups identified, namely men, individuals with little education, and the 25 to 44 age group.     

Age standardized incidence rates of oral cancer in South Africa, 1988-1991

While numbers of papers on oral cancer in South Africa have been published, there have been very few studies on standardized morbidity rates. This paper has developed data collected by the National Cancer Registry from the entire country for the four year period 1988-1991 to present frequency, age standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and life-time risk (LR) for histologically-diagnosed intra-oral cancers in female and male Asian, black, coloured and white South Africans. During this period 5396 cases of oral cancer were diagnosed in a total number of 157,307 cancer cases (3.4 per cent) excluding squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and basal cell carcinoma (BSC) of the skin. Intra-oral cancer in all South African females and males accounted, respectively, for 1.8 per cent and 5.0 per cent of all cancers. There was a male preponderance in black, coloured and white groups but females were affected more frequently than men among Asians. The incidence in Asian women (6.66) was higher than those of the women in any of the other population groups, whereas the lowest incidence was found in black women (1.75). The incidence rate in coloured men was particularly high (13.13) whereas the incidence in white males (8.06) was not substantially lower than among black males (9.05). Differences between the eight groups were not significant (X2 = 6.24, df = 3, p > 0.1). The Cumulative Life Time Risk (LR) of developing intra-oral cancer for males and females in the four population groups ranged from 1:65 in coloured males to 1:455 for black females. Gender differences in LR in both black and coloured groups, signals substantial differences in exposure to known carcinogens for this disease. It is disturbing to note that the incidence in the period 1988-1991 was higher in Indian women that it was in 1964-1966, and that educative preventive measures have failed. Similarly, the incidence of intra-oral cancer in coloured men of 13.13 is substantially higher than the figure of 8.8 reported in 1979. If this is an accurately reflected trend, then a major educative programme needs to be pursued in this direction if the relative risk of one in 65 is to be reduced.     

Dementia is the major cause of functional dependence in the elderly: 3-year follow-up data from a population-based study

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this investigation was to study the role of dementia and other common age-related diseases as determinants of dependence in activities of daily living (ADL) in the elderly. METHODS: The study population consisted of 1745 persons, aged 75 years and older, living in a district of Stockholm. They were examined at baseline and after a 3-year follow-up interval. Katz's index was used to measure functional status. Functional dependence at baseline, functional decline, and development of functional dependence at follow-up were examined in relation to sociodemographic characteristics and chronic conditions. RESULTS: At baseline, factors associated with functional dependence were age, dementia, cerebrovascular disease, heart disease, and hip fracture. However, only age and dementia were associated with the development of functional dependence and decline after 3 years. In a similar analysis, including only nondemented subjects. Mini-Mental State Examination scores emerged as one of the strongest determinants. The population attributable risk percentage of dementia in the development of functional dependence was 49%. CONCLUSIONS: In a very old population, dementia and cognitive impairment make the strongest contribution to both the development of long-term functional dependence and decline in function.     

Which arterial and cardiac parameters best predict left ventricular mass?

BACKGROUND: Many cardiovascular and noncardiovascular parameters are thought to be determinants of left ventricular mass (LVM). Complicated interactions necessitate the simultaneous measurement and consideration of each to determine their individual and collective impact on LVM. We undertook such a comprehensive study. METHODS AND RESULTS: The influence of anthropometry, cardiac size and contractility, arterial structure and function, as well as indices of lifestyle, physical activity, and dietary salt intake on LVM (by two-dimensionally guided M-mode echocardiography) was analyzed in 1315 Chinese subjects who were either normotensive or had untreated hypertension. Effects of many cardiac and arterial factors were assessed. In univariate analysis, almost all measured noncardiovascular, cardiac, and arterial variables were significantly correlated with LVM. In multivariate linear regression analyses, when age, sex, body habitus, fasting serum C-peptide level, dietary salt, physical activity, and lifestyle were accounted for, the optimum multivariate linear regression main effects model had an adjusted model r2 of 0.740, with 98% of the model variance accounted for by the 5 independent determinants of LVM: stroke volume (49.6%), systolic blood pressure (30.7%), contractility (14.7%), body mass index (1.8%), and aortic root diameter (1.6%). Other proposed arterial indices were significant independent determinants of LVM only when blood pressure was removed from the model and, even then, these indices not only resulted in less powerful prediction but also accounted for only a very small percentage of the total variance of LVM. CONCLUSIONS: In a large population, we (1) confirmed that age, body habitus, and some indexes of arterial structure and function are independent determinants of LVM; (2) found aortic diameter to be an independent structural determinant of LVM; (3) demonstrated that the effects of the derived measures of arterial function were small and provided no better predictive power than blood pressure alone; and (4) showed that when the best measures of cardiac and vascular load were included, the single most potent predictor was an index of left ventricular size.     

Emphysematous cystitis

OBJECTIVE: To compare incidence rates of childhood-onset IDDM among black African-heritage populations age 0-19 years in the Caribbean region. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Population-based registries for IDDM were established on the eastern Caribbean islands of Antigua, Barbados, Dominica, St. Croix, St. Kitts, St. Thomas, and Tortola using standardized criteria from the World Health Organization (WHO) Multinational Project for Childhood Diabetes (DiaMond). Average annual incidence rates (IR) with 95% CI for 0-19 years olds were computed using the DiaMond Registry program for the 5-year period from 1989 to 1993. Poisson regression analysis was used to determine differences in incidence rates. RESULTS: The highest incidence rate for 0-19 year olds was for the black African-heritage population of St. Croix (IR 10.09 per 100,000; 95% CI 4.35-19.89), one of the U.S. Caribbean islands. A significant (P < 0.05) 3.9 variation in IDDM incidence across the registries was found when the IR for St. Croix was compared to the IR for Barbados (IR 2.57 per 100,000; 95% CI 0.90-4.64). CONCLUSIONS: The variation in childhood-onset IDDM incidence rates among the black populations of the eastern Caribbean islands is consistent with the geographic variation in IDDM incidence seen among African Americans in the U.S. Variation in incidence rates of childhood diabetes in black populations may reflect differences in level of white genetic admixture or exposure to environmental diabetogenic agents.     

Are subjective clinical findings and objective clinical tests related to the motion characteristics of low back pain subjects?

OBJECTIVE: Examine the association between county occupational structure, public expenditures, services availability, prevalence of risk factors, and coronary mortality rates, for 1980-1994, in Washington state. DESIGN: Washington's 39 counties were classified into three occupational structure categories: counties with the lowest percentages of the labor force in managerial, professional, and technical occupations were classified in category I; counties with the highest percentages were in category III. Directly age-adjusted coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates, aged 35-64 years, (from vital statistics and Census data), per capita expenditures (Washington Department of Revenue data), per capita services (U.S. Statistical Abstracts data), and the prevalence of CHD risk factors (BRFSS data) were calculated for each occupational structure category. RESULTS: CHD mortality rates and the prevalence of risk factors were inversely associated with occupational structure. Per capita expenditures for health, social, and employment services were 2.2 times, and for schools and recreation were 1.4 times higher in category III vs. I counties. Per capita numbers of child care, job training, employment services, exercise facilities, schools, and medical services were 1.5-6.4 times greater in category III vs. I counties. CONCLUSIONS: Strategies to improve community living conditions and decrease economic disparities between counties may be important to decrease geographic differences in premature CHD mortality.     

Predicting the duration of mechanical ventilation. The importance of disease and patient characteristics

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To analyze the determinants of an individual patient's duration of mechanical ventilation and assess interhospital variations for average durations of ventilation. DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter, inception, cohort study. SETTING: Forty-two ICUs at 40 US hospitals. PATIENTS: A total of 5,915 patients undergoing mechanical ventilation on ICU day 1 selected from the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) III database of 17,440 admissions. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Utilizing APACHE III data collected on the 5,915 patients, multivariate regression analysis was performed on selected patients and disease characteristics to determine which variables were significantly associated with the duration of mechanical ventilation. An equation predicting duration of ventilation was then developed using the significant predictor variables and its accuracy was evaluated. Variables significantly associated with duration of ventilation included primary reason for ICU admission, day 1 acute physiology score (APS) of APACHE III, age, prior patient location and hospital length of stay, activity limits due to respiratory disease, serum albumin, respiratory rate, and PaO2/FIo2 measurements. Using an equation derived from these variables, predicted durations of ventilation were then calculated and compared with actual observed durations for each of the 42 ICUs. Average duration of ventilation for the 42 ICUs ranged from 2.6 to 7.9 days, but 60% of this variation was accounted for by differences in patient characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: For patients admitted to the ICU and ventilated on day 1, total duration of ventilation is primarily determined by admitting diagnosis and degree of physiologic derangement as measured by APS. An equation developed using multivariate regression techniques can accurately predict average duration of ventilation for groups of ICU patients, and we believe this equation will be useful for comparing ventilator practices between ICUs, controlling for patient differences in clinical trials of new therapies or weaning techniques, and as a quality improvement mechanism.     

Characteristics of smokers who attempt to quit and of those who recently succeeded

Although a high percentage of smokers attempt to quit each year, success rates are low. Thus, public health strategies must not only convince some smokers to attempt cessation, but also improve the success rate among other smokers already motivated to quit. Specific cessation strategies may be required for smokers in these two groups. This study compares sociodemographic and health behavior characteristics of smokers who have and have not attempted to quit and of those who recently succeeded. To determine whether these characteristics vary for men and women, we stratified analyses on gender. Data were obtained from random sample health surveys conducted 1981-1982 and 1983-1984 in two New England communities. Analyses include data on 2,086 respondents who reported smoking cigarettes in the previous year. Men and women were equally likely both to attempt cessation and to quit. Except for an inverse association with age, attempting to quit was not associated with sociodemographic variables. In men and women, attempts were associated with encouraging others to quit and attempting to increase exercise. Successful cessation attempts were associated with not living with a smoker in women; marital status, attempted weight loss, and increased age in men; and with efforts to increase exercise in both men and women. These characteristics could be useful in targeting smokers who attempt to quit, but fail. Improving the success rate in this group could greatly reduce smoking prevalence in the community.     

Habitual physical activity in a population residing in the city of Barcelona

OBJECTIVES: To describe the sociodemographic distribution of habitual physical activity and to analyse its relationship with self-perceived health status and occupational status, among the population older that 16 years of age in the city of Barcelona, Spain. METHODS: A sample of 1,885 adult men and 2,196 women answered the Health Interview Survey of Barcelona in 1992. Those whose habitual activity required high physical exertion or walking were considered as active. Bivariate and multivariate analyses adjusting logistic regression models were used to study the relationship between habitual physical activity and the rest of variables, for each occupational situation. RESULTS: Fifty six percent of adults reported being physically active. Physical activity was lower among workers than non workers, although workers reported more physical exertion (14.5% in men and 8.0% in women). Physical activity was associated with occupation and educational level among male workers, but only with occupation among female workers. In the non working population, physical activity was lower among those who perceived their health status as fair or poor, compared with those that described it as good or very good, (ORa in men was 0.2, 95% confidence interval = 0.1-0.5; ORa in women was 0.5, 95% confidence interval = 0.3-0.8). CONCLUSIONS: More than half of the Barcelona population were physically active in an habitual manner. Among workers, this activity was mainly determined by the occupation. Non-workers with a poor self-perceived health status did less physical activity.