西北太平洋热带气旋活动影响区域大尺度环流的数值模拟研究

本文利用"模式手术"方法研究了西北太平洋热带气旋(TC)对东亚—西北太平洋区域大尺度环流的影响.结果表明,夏季频繁的西北太平洋TC活动导致东亚夏季风增强,季风槽加深;西太平洋副热带高压东退,位置偏北;东亚副热带高空急流强度增强,北太平洋(东亚大陆)上急流轴偏北(偏南);热带地区(副热带地区)的对流层中低层出现异常上升气流(下沉气流),并且从低纬向高纬呈现异常上升气流和异常下沉气流交替分布特征.在中国东南沿海,TC降水导致夏季降水量明显增加;而在长江中下游和华北地区,TC活动引起的异常下沉气流使夏季降水量显著减少.因此,夏季西北太平洋TC活动对东亚—西北太平洋区域气候有显著影响.     

陆地下垫面与环境气流对锋面气旋发展过程影响的理想试验

地面摩擦和大尺度流场是影响锋面气旋结构演变的重要因子,本文使用WRF模式并采用湿物理方案,通过理想化试验,综合考虑陆面摩擦、气旋式扰动相对于急流位置和大尺度流场对锋面气旋结构变化的影响.结果表明：当仅考虑单一因子时,气旋式扰动位于急流南侧和辐合流流场有利于气旋形成Shapiro-Keyser（S-K）模型结构.当同时考虑地面摩擦和大尺度辐合时,气旋式扰动位于急流北侧的气旋发展整体向经典的挪威气旋模型转变;扰动位于急流南侧的的气旋发展则整体呈现S-K模型结构,此时辐合流场有利于S-K模型结构出现.当同时考虑地面摩擦和大尺度辐散时,扰动处于急流北侧的气旋呈现挪威气旋模型结构;由于气旋式扰动穿越急流和辐散流场同时有利于暖锋后弯发展以及冷暖锋距离加大和锋消,扰动处于急流南侧的气旋呈现典型S-K气旋模型结构.这个结果解释了在东亚大陆地区辐散场形势下出现的S-K模型结构气旋个例.     

中国典型夏季风影响过渡区夏季降水异常时空特征及成因分析

基于1961-2016年国家气象信息中心整编的气象台站逐日降水以及NCAR/NCEP再分析等资料,对我国典型夏季风影响过渡区夏季降水的异常时空特征及成因进行分析,结果表明：典型夏季风影响过渡区夏季降水EOF展开第一模态呈全区一致性特征,而且该模态时间系数没有明显的长期变化趋势,第二模态呈西北和东南反位相变化特征.相关分析表明夏季中纬度西风带是影响典型夏季风影响过渡区夏季降水异常的最主要因子,高原夏季风为次要因子,东亚夏季风的影响较弱,而且东亚夏季风主要通过其子系统——西太平洋副热带高压的东西摆动来影响.此外在夏季中纬度西风偏弱年,高空急流位置偏南,急流轴在典型夏季风影响过渡区向东南方向发生了"倾斜",对应500 hPa呈异常的西北气流控制,同时由于高空急流在过渡区减弱,使得高层发生异常的气流辐合,低层辐散,通过高低层环流之间的质量和动量调整,垂直场表现为异常下沉运动,低层的辐散也减弱了西南暖湿气流的北上,水汽来源少,最终使得典型夏季风影响过渡区夏季降水偏少,反之亦然.这是夏季中纬度西风带影响典型夏季风影响过渡区夏季降水的可能机理.     

北半球夏季副热带西风急流变异及其对东亚夏季风气候异常的影响

探讨了东亚地区副热带西风急流(EAJS)位置的年际 变化特征、影响及其可能机制. EAJS南北变动的影响主要集中在亚澳季风区和气候平均的北 半球副热带西风急流轴的南北两侧,这与SOI或ENSO相联系的大气环流响应很不相同,后者的 影响主要表现在中、东太平洋上. 北半球副热带西风急流存在着两个显著不同的模态,其中 一个模态反映的是亚太尤其是东亚地区的西风急流的南北变异,另一个模态出现在150°E～1 20°W的中、东太平洋上. 它们分别联系着不同的太平洋海温异常分布,但都能对夏季200hPa 南亚高压的强度产生影响,尤其是南亚高压的东部,从而可以对我国东部夏季旱涝灾害的形成 产生作用.     

一次切断低压诱发的暖区深对流与异常副热带锋及其平流层-对流层交换

采用Cloudsat/CPR云雷达,FY2C/TBB亮温,Aura/MLS大气成分等卫星遥感资料,结合ECMWF气象分析资料和HYSPLIT4轨迹模式,研究了2009年6月一次东亚切断低压的暖区深对流和异常副热带锋面的结构和演变.分析表明,由于低压切断前的旧槽背景,在低涡的近成熟期,内部冷、暖锋降水偏弱,边沿的高空副热带锋面异常发展到对流层底部,低空西南暖湿水汽在副热带锋前聚集,形成千公里长的暖区深对流降水带.随着该锋面的快速东移,副热带锋区进入原暖区雨带,锋区热力间接次级环流的强上升支,加强了锋下冷侧(原暖湿区)的深对流,但该锋面阻挡了来自暖侧的水汽补充,降水结束.该异常副热带锋区还发生了强烈的平流层-对流层相互交换,在高空急流出口区的下方,平流层1.5PVU等位涡线向下入侵可达5.5km(约500hPa)处,锋下向上的深对流注入可达10km,在入侵-注入混合区,臭氧和水汽的散点图上出现了二者浓度双高和双低的特殊气团.     

中国南部对流层中上层臭氧增加的气象场判识及臭氧变化的多尺度特征

副热带急流对中国南部地区对流层中上层臭氧浓度的影响程度及地理范围目前还研究较少,且缺乏综合使用常规气象资料及卫星资料来判识对流层中上层臭氧浓度增高的方法.本文利用NCEP再分析与最终分析资料、日本GMS-5地球静止卫星水汽云图资料,以2001年3月27~29日中国南部的临安、昆明、香港臭氧探测个例为基础,结合1996年3月29日香港与2001年4月13日临安对流层中上层高浓度臭氧分布个例对副热带急流对中国南部对流层中上层臭氧浓度的影响进行了详细分析,提出根据气象要素场判识春季中国南部对流层中上层臭氧浓度增高的充分条件为根据卫星水汽图像上的暗区、高空急流入口区的左侧辐合区、高空锋区、对流层中上层≥1 PVU的向下伸展的舌状高位涡区来综合判断.本文的分析结果表明,本文个例中对流层中上层高浓度臭氧来自平流层;香港对流层中上层低浓度臭氧来自热带海洋地区.不仅臭氧垂直廓线的多个极小与极大值表明臭氧垂直分布的多尺度变化特征,而且对流层中上层PV分布以及卫星水汽图像分析也表明大气中的多尺度运动对臭氧垂直分布特征有显著影响.本文的结果表明与副热带高空急流相联系的平流层空气侵入不仅发生在中国大陆的较高纬度地区,较低纬度的昆明与香港地区也有平流层空气侵入导致对流层中上层臭氧浓度升高.     

一次切断低压诱发的暖区深对流与异常副热带锋及其平流层-对流层交换

采用Cloudsat/CPR云雷达,FY2C/TBB亮温,Aura/MLS大气成分等卫星遥感资料,结合ECMWF气象分析资料和HYSPLIT4轨迹模式,研究了2009年6月一次东亚切断低压的暖区深对流和异常副热带锋面的结构和演变.分析表明,由于低压切断前的旧槽背景,在低涡的近成熟期,内部冷、暖锋降水偏弱,边沿的高空副热带锋面异常发展到对流层底部,低空西南暖湿水汽在副热带锋前聚集,形成千公里长的暖区深对流降水带.随着该锋面的快速东移,副热带锋区进入原暖区雨带,锋区热力间接次级环流的强上升支,加强了锋下冷侧（原暖湿区）的深对流,但该锋面阻挡了来自暖侧的水汽补充,降水结束.该异常副热带锋区还发生了强烈的平流层-对流层相互交换,在高空急流出口区的下方,平流层1.5PVU等位涡线向下入侵可达5.5 km（约500 hPa）处,锋下向上的深对流注入可达10 km,在入侵-注入混合区,臭氧和水汽的散点图上出现了二者浓度双高和双低的特殊气团.     

BCC_CSM1.1(m)模式对于夏季亚洲-太平洋涛动的模拟

亚洲-太平洋涛动是北半球夏季亚洲大陆和北太平洋副热带地区对流层中高层扰动温度场上大尺度的东西反相的遥相关现象,其异常变化与亚洲-太平洋地区夏季风气候有着密切的联系.基于欧洲中心的ERA-40再分析资料和国家气候中心BCC_CSM1.1（m）气候系统模式多年的数值模拟结果,本文主要评估了BCC_CSM1.1（m）模式对于夏季亚洲-太平洋涛动的空间分布、指数的时间演变及与其变化所对应的亚洲地区夏季环流异常等方面的模拟能力,结果表明：BCC_CSM1.1（m）模式能够较好地模拟出北半球夏季对流层中高层扰动温度在亚-太地区中纬度存在的西高东低"跷跷板"现象;模式能够模拟出夏季亚洲-太平洋涛动指数的年际变率,但是不能模拟出该指数在20世纪60-70年代明显下降的年代际趋势;模式还能较好地模拟出亚洲-太平洋涛动高低指数年亚洲-太平洋地区夏季环流的异常：指数偏高年份,南亚高压增强,高空西风急流带和热带东风急流均加强,索马里越赤道气流增强,南亚热带季风和东亚副热带季风均增强,东亚季风低压槽加强,西北太平洋副热带高压增强,南亚和东亚北部降水增加,菲律宾地区、中国长江流域-朝鲜半岛-日本一带地区降水减少,反之亦然.     

伴随冬季北太平洋副热带海洋锋强度变化的大气扰动异常及对中纬度大气平均场的影响

中纬度海洋热力状况异常影响大气主要通过两种途径:非绝热加热的直接强迫作用和大气瞬变涡旋反馈的间接强迫作用,而后者的作用并没有被很好地认识.为了进一步理解间接强迫作用的物理机制,本文利用观测资料分析和区域大气模式模拟,研究了伴随冬季北太平洋副热带海洋锋强度变化的中纬度大气场异常,特别是对流层中高层不同频率的涡旋扰动活动的异常.实际观测和数值试验结果均表明,当北太平洋副热带海表面温度锋偏强时,其上空的中纬度大气经向温度梯度增强;对应此时的大气斜压性增强,且中纬度大气西风急流整层加速;然而增强的大气斜压性并不对应一致性增强的大气涡旋扰动活动.中纬度大气的涡旋扰动根据其生命周期,进一步划分为高频(2~7天)和低频(10~90天)涡旋扰动.研究结果表明偏强的北太平洋副热带海洋锋对应着增强的中纬度大气高频涡旋扰动和减弱的低频涡旋扰动;其中,中纬度大气高频扰动活动的增强,将有利于削弱中纬度大气经向温度梯度,从而减弱中纬度大气斜压性;而高频扰动对纬向风倾向项的正贡献,有利于中纬度急流中心北侧及下游区域的西风加速,形成中纬度西风相当正压结构的增强;大气低频扰动的减弱,对中纬度大气纬向风倾向项产生负贡献,不利于急流的纬向均匀化,而其热力强迫异常则有利于维持中纬度对流层中层大气的经向温度梯度.     

与东北冷涡相伴的高空急流诱发平流层重力波的数值模拟研究

使用中尺度数值模式WRF-ARW,针对2010年6月发生在中国东北地区一例伴随对流层高空西风急流(位于~9km高度)演变过程出现的平流层重力波活动特征开展了数值模拟.事件发生期间,对流层区域环流处在一个东北冷涡系统的控制之下.模拟结果再现了该东北冷涡的发展和维持过程,以及与之相伴的高空急流的特征.模拟结果揭示出在急流区域上空的平流层中存在显著重力波活动现象.分析结果显示,重力波活动与急流存在紧密联系,在水平方向上,重力波呈显著的二维结构,出现在急流出口区上部并逆背景流向西传播.功率谱分析结果表明盛行波动具有~700km水平尺度、9~12h时间尺度以及4~5km垂直波长.由于急流的存在,造成其与平流层中下部之间存在显著的水平风速垂直切变,与切变相伴的耗散使得上传的重力波动量通量数值随着高度升高而递减.同时,在18~20km高度间出现的西风-东风转换带极大地抑制了波动在垂直方向的传播,形成显著动量通量沉积效应.估算结果表明,在11~20km高度之间,这种效应的整体作用相当于对该层背景流施加强度为0.86m·s-1·day-1的动力阻曳.     

A mesoscale eddy detection method of specific intensity and scale from SSH image in the South China Sea and the Northwest Pacific

Mesoscale eddies exist almost everywhere in the ocean and play important roles in the ocean circulation of the world. These eddies may cause sound spread singular regions and bring great influences to the upwater ship and underwater aircraft. Due to the lack of hydrographic survey datasets, study of mesoscale eddies has been greatly restricted. Fortunately, satellite altimeter provided an effective way to study mesoscale eddies. An automatic detection algorithm is introduced to detect mesoscale eddies of specific intensity and spatial/temporal scale based on satellite sea surface height (SSH) data and the algorithm is applied in a strong eddy activity region: the South China Sea and the Northwest Pacific. The algorithm includes four steps. The first step is preprocessing of the SSH image, which includes elimination of error SSH data and interpolation. The second step is to detect suspected mesoscale eddies from preprocessed SSH images by dynamic threshold adjustment and morphological method, and the suspected mesoscale eddy detection includes two procedures: suspected mesoscale eddy core region detection and suspected mesoscale eddy brim extraction. The third step is to pick out mesoscale eddies satisfied with specified criteria from suspected mesoscale eddies. The criteria include three items, that is, intensity criterion, spatial scale, criterion and temporal scale criterion. The last step is algorithm performance analysis and verification. The algorithm has the capability of adaptive parameter adjustment, and can extract mesoscale eddies of interested intensity and spatial/temporal scale. The paper can provide a basis for analyzing space-time characteristics of mesoscale eddy in the South China Sea and the Northwest Pacific.     

Specific features of explosive plasma flows in the near-earth space

The analytical expressions for determining the deceleration region of plasma, produced during large-scale geophysical experiments of explosion type, and taking into account the effect of the rarefied ionosphere and geomagnetic field have been obtained. The possibility of the magnetosphere braking by plasma produced by a powerful explosion is analyzed. The simplified set of equations used to analyze the linear and non-linear stages of flute instability of explosive plasma expanding into the magnetic field has been obtained. The mass overflow between flutes and the viscous force is taken into account. The experimental studies of flute instability during laser plasma expansion into the magnetic field are theoretically substantiated. The mechanism explaining the formation of a jet stream and the main jet inclination of 11° with respect to the axis of symmetry has been proposed.     

Characteristics of inertia-gravity waves around jet stream from radiosonde observations in Wuhan (30.5°N, 114.4°E)

The 5 years’ radiosonde data obtained from January 2000 to December 2004 in Wuhan (30.5°N, 114.4°E) have been used for studying the behaviors of inertia-gravity waves in the vicinity of the jet stream. It is observed that the wave intensity has a similar seasonal variation with the jet stream intensity with a strong winter maximum and a summer minimum. Moreover, a similar inter-annual trend for both the wave intensity and jet stream intensity is also found. These results suggest that the jet stream may be the predominant source of the inertia-gravity waves in the troposphere and lower stratosphere over Wuhan in the period of the 5 years. It is noticed from 28 radiosonde profiles during wintertime that the energy of inertia-gravity waves exhibits upward and downward propagation respectively above and below the jet stream. This indicates that the source of the inertia-gravity waves is within the jet stream. In these cases, the twin waves below and above the jet stream usually hold similar amplitudes. The horizontal propagation of the twin waves also shows some interesting relationship.     

On the theory of thin rotating jets: A quasi‐geostrophic time dependent model

The time‐dependent meandering in a thin baroclinic jet over bottom topography is discussed in the quasi‐geostrophic approximation. The motion of the axis of the jet is taken to be vertically coherent and the axis itself is defined as inextensible. The motion is examined from a frame of reference moving with the axis but fixed at an arbitrary longitude in terms of an open ocean spatial initial value problem. The velocities of the axis and of the jet are quasi‐geostrophic, and vorticity conservation for the first non‐geostrophic components constrains the evolution of the axis and gives a path equation. The spatial linearized stability problem is studied and the jet is found to be baroclinically unstable to path disturbances of sufficiently high frequency which amplify downstream. An exact solution is obtained to the nonlinear path equation over a flat bottom with no ß‐effect. The evolution of the path of these unstable meanders is such that the path closes itself and forms rings (at which point the analysis breaks down). It is proposed that the baroclinic jet processes studied here are fundamental to the dynamics of Gulf Stream meandering and isolated eddy production.     

Variation of stream temperature among mesoscale habitats within stream reaches: southern Appalachians

Stream mesoscale habitats have systematic topographic relationships to hyporheic flow patterns, which may create predictable temperature variation between mesoscale habitat types. We investigated whether systematic differences in temperature metrics occurred between mesoscale habitats within reaches of small streams tributary to the upper Little Tennessee River, southern Appalachians. Surface water temperature was recorded over three or four mid‐summer days in four mesoscale habitat types: riffle, main riffle, pool and alcove in 44 stream segments (sites). Temperature metrics were calculated for each mesoscale habitat relative to the mean value of the metric over the stream: Δ maximum temperature, Δ average maximum temperature and Δ maximum daily variation and also for each site: standard deviation of the maximum temperature and average diurnal variation (ADV). Sites were categorized as fully or partially forested. Pool tailouts had statistically significantly lower Δ maximum temperature and Δ average maximum temperature than riffle tailouts in partially forested sites, although differences were small. This was the opposite of what was expected in the presence of hyporheic exchange, indicating hyporheic exchange is not a dominant driver of mesoscale habitat temperatures at these sites. Temperature differences between mesoscale habitat units were small and unlikely to have ecological significance. We also evaluated relationships between stream temperature and riparian condition, watershed % impervious surfaces, watershed % non‐forested and elevation. ADV and standard deviation of the maximum temperature were significantly higher in partially forested sites, indicating that partially forested sites have greater temperature ranges and spatial variation of maximum temperatures. ADV decreased with elevation and increased with % impervious surfaces. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Decadal variability of the Kuroshio Extension: mesoscale eddies and recirculations

An eddy-resolving multidecadal ocean model hindcast simulation is analyzed to investigate time-varying signals of the two recirculation gyres present respectively to the north and south of the Kuroshio Extension (KE) jet. The northern recirculation gyre (NRG), which has been detected at middepth recently by profiling float and moored current meter observations, is a major focus of the present study. Low-frequency variations in the intensity of the recirculation gyres are overall highly correlated with decadal variations of the KE jet induced by the basin-wide wind change. Modulation of the simulated mesoscale eddies and its relationship with the time-varying recirculation gyres are also evaluated. The simulated eddy kinetic energy in the upstream KE region is inversely correlated with the intensity of the NRG, consistent with previous observational studies. Eddy influence on the low-frequency modulation of the NRG intensity at middepth is further examined by a composite analysis of turbulent Sverdrup balance, assuming a potential vorticity balance between the mean advection and the convergent eddy fluxes during the different states of the recirculation gyre. The change in the NRG intensity is adequately explained by that inferred by the turbulent Sverdrup balance, suggesting that the eddy feedback triggers the low-frequency modulation of the NRG intensity at middepth.     

Spatial patterns from EOF analysis of soil moisture at a large scale and their dependence on soil,land-use,and topographic properties

We hypothesize that the spatial and temporal variation in large-scale soil moisture patterns can be described by a small number of spatial structures that are related to soil texture, land use, and topography. To test this hypothesis, an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is conducted using data from the 1997 Southern Great Plains field campaign. When considering the spatial soil moisture anomalies, one spatial structure (EOF) is identified that explains 61% of the variance, and three such structures explain 87% of the variance. The primary EOF is most highly correlated with the percent sand in the soil among the regional characteristics considered, but the correlation with percent clay is largest if only dry days are analyzed. When considering the temporal anomalies, one EOF explains 50% of the variance. This EOF is still most closely related to the percent sand, but the percent clay is unimportant. Characteristics related to land use and topography are less correlated with the spatial and temporal variation of soil moisture in the range of scales considered.     

非对称型强飓风中的准平衡流特征分析

本文在论述飓风发生发展生命史过程中平衡、准平衡和非平衡态动力学特征的基础上,应用PV-ω方法,对具有非轴对称和长时间强度维持特征的飓风Bonnie（1998）进行了反演诊断分析,结果表明：基于非线性平衡模式的平衡流能够描述飓风水平涡旋场的基本特征,而加入准平衡ω方程得到的准平衡流能反映边界层入流、高层出流、眼墙区的剧烈倾斜上升运动和眼心区域的下沉运动.准平衡流描述了具有较长生命史组织化过程的强对流系统,而与其相联系的辐散运动与涡度同量级,证明了飓风准平衡流场具有涡散运动共存的特征,但在边界层顶的入流急流区和高层出流区仍存在高度非平衡态的超梯度流.利用反演的准平衡流场分析发现,当由环境风场低层到高层存在顺切变时,飓风内中尺度对流带移动方向的左侧,有利于强对流单体的发展和新对流单体的形成,右侧则相反,同时强气旋式旋转流场的作用,使得对流单体形成后随基本气流传播至对流减弱区,造成了飓风非对称结构的形成和维持.     

Stable-boundary-layer regimes from the perspective of the low-level jet

This paper reviews results from two field studies of the nocturnal stable atmospheric boundary layer (SBL) over the Great Plains of the United States. Data from a scanning remote-sensing system, a High-Resolution Doppler Lidar (HRDL), provided measurements of mean and turbulent wind components at high spatial and temporal resolution through the lowest 500–1000 m of the atmosphere. This data set has allowed the characteristics of the low-level jet (LLJ) maximum (speed, height, direction) to be documented through entire nights. LLJs form after sunset and produce strong shear in the layer below the LLJ maximum or nose, which is a source of turbulence and mixing in the SBL. Simultaneous HRDL measurements of turbulence quantities related to turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) has allowed the turbulence in the subjet layer to be related to LLJ properties. Turbulence structure was found to be a function of the bulk stability of the subjet layer. For the strong-LLJ (> 15 m s⁻¹), weakly stable cases the strength of the turbulence is proportional to the strength of the LLJ. For these cases with nearly continuous turbulence in the subjet layer, low-level jet scaling, in which lengths are scaled by the LLJ height and velocity variables are scaled by the LLJ speed, was found to be appropriate. For the weak-wind (< 5 m s⁻¹ in the lowest 200 m), very stable boundary layer (vSBL), the boundary layer was found to be very shallow (sometimes < 10 m deep), and turbulent fluxes between the earth’s surface and the atmosphere were found to be essentially shut down. For more intermediate wind speeds and stabilities, the SBL shows varying degrees of intermittency due to various mechanisms, including shearinstability and other gravity waves, density currents, and other mesoscale disturbances.