| 基于集对分析的乡村公路建设及土地整治项目投资决策风险评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 王松江,陈洁仙.基于集对分析的乡村公路建设及土地整治项目投资决策风险评价[J].工程管理学报,2023,37(2):73-078. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王松江 陈洁仙 |
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| 作者单位： | 昆明理工大学 管理与经济学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 为预估项目潜在风险的大小级别和发展态势，提高乡村公路建设及土地整治项目投资决策的精度，通过文献检索构建风险指标体系，筛选出 10 个一级指标和 31 个二级指标；由专家打分得出区间权重，采用三元联系数法得出精确的指标权重；基于集对分析法构建同异反风险评价模型，利用五元联系数法对风险态势进行深度分析。并以云南省某县乡村振兴战略工程及土地整治建设项目为例进行实证研究，证明该模型具有较好的准确性与可操作性。
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| 关 键 词： | 土地整治 乡村公路 集对分析法 风险评价 |
Risk Evaluation of Investment Decisions for Rural Road Construction andLand Remediation Projects Based on Set-Pair AnalysisWANG Songjiang，CHEN Jiexian（Faculty of Management and Economics，Kunming University of Science and Technology |
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| WANG Songjiang,CHEN Jiexian.Risk Evaluation of Investment Decisions for Rural Road Construction andLand Remediation Projects Based on Set-Pair AnalysisWANG Songjiang，CHEN Jiexian（Faculty of Management and Economics，Kunming University of Science and Technology[J].Journal of Engineering Management,2023,37(2):73-078. |
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| Authors: | WANG Songjiang CHEN Jiexian |
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| Affiliation: | Faculty of Management and Economics，Kunming University of Science and Technology |
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| Abstract: | This research aims at estimiting the project risks and improving the precision of investment decisions for rural roadconstruction and land remediation projects. In this research, a risk index system was constructed through a literature search. Tenprimary indicators and 31 secondary indicators were screened out. The interval weights were scored by experts，and the ternarycoefficient method was used to process them to obtain accurate index weights. The homogeneous inverse risk evaluation model wasconstructed based on the set-pair analysis method，and the risk dynamics was analyzed by the five-element coefficient method indepth. Moreover，an empirical research was carried out by taking the rural revitalization strategy project and land consolidationconstruction project of a county in Yunnan Province as an example.The results prove that the developed model has good accuracyand operability. |
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| Keywords: | land reclamation rural roads set-pair analysis risk evaluation |
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