| 典型储电方式的结构特点及碳中和愿景下的发展分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘石,杨毅,胡亚轩,黄正,刘志刚,梁崇淦,王红星,魏增福.典型储电方式的结构特点及碳中和愿景下的发展分析[J].中州煤炭,2022,0(1):215-221，229. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘石 杨毅 胡亚轩 黄正 刘志刚 梁崇淦 王红星 魏增福 |
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| 作者单位： | （1.南方电网电力科技股份有限公司，广东 广州 510080； 2.广东电网有限责任公司 电力科学研究院，广东 广州 510080） |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFB0903604);南方电网电力科技股份有限公司科技项目(NYJS2020KJ005)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于2060年的电力市场数据对未来储电装机容量进行估算，并对抽水蓄能、压缩空气储电和电池储电进行调研，基于其结构、优缺点和性能，分析和预测它们的未来发展趋势，为可再生能源发电份额大幅度增加情况下推广储电技术提供理论依据。在未来较长时期，抽水蓄能电站仍会占储电市场的绝大部分份额；技术升级后的压缩空气储电将会迎来市场爆发，在余热回收利用的地上中小型储电领域得到商业化推广；电池在储电市场的占比将快速增长，退役电池成为未来的重要增长点。综合分析认为，储电市场前景广阔，未来较长时间将会是抽水蓄能平稳增长为主，压缩空气储能和锂电快速增长为辅的局面，从而保证双碳目标的顺利达成。
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| 关 键 词： | 碳达峰和碳中和 抽水蓄能 压缩空气储能 电池 喘振 |
Structure characteristics and development analysis under carbon neutrality vision of typical power storage modes |
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| Liu Shi,Yang Yi,Hu Yaxuan,Huang Zheng,Liu Zhigang,Liang Chonggan,Wang Hongxing,Wei Zengfu.Structure characteristics and development analysis under carbon neutrality vision of typical power storage modes[J].Zhongzhou Coal,2022,0(1):215-221，229. |
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| Authors: | Liu Shi Yang Yi Hu Yaxuan Huang Zheng Liu Zhigang Liang Chonggan Wang Hongxing Wei Zengfu |
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| Affiliation: | （1.China Southern Power Grid Electrical Technology Co.，Ltd.，Guangzhou 510080，China； 2.Electric Power Research Institute of Guangdong Power Grid Co.，Ltd.，Guangzhou 510080，China） |
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| Abstract: | Based on the power market data in 2060,the future installed capacity of power storage is estimated.With the investigation of pumped storage,compressed air storage and battery storage,their future development trend is analyzed and predicted based on their structure,advantages and disadvantages and performance,so as to provide theoretical basis for the promotion of power storage technology when the share of renewable energy power generation increases greatly.For a long time in the future,pumped storage power stations will still account for the vast majority of the power storage market;after technology upgrading,compressed air power storage will usher in a market explosion,which will be commercialized in the field utilization of ground small and medium-sized power storage with waste heat recovery;the proportion of batteries in the power storage market will grow rapidly,and retired batteries will become an important growth point in the future.Comprehensive analysis shows that the power storage market has a broad prospect.In the long run,the pumped storage energy will grow at a stable speed,supplemented by compressed air power storage and lithium battery,so as to ensure the smooth achievement of the dual carbon target. |
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| Keywords: | carbon peaking and carbon neutralization pumped storage compressed air energy storage battery surge |
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